thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $86.09EOD only
Max Pain
$86.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.48
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.09
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 22, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Continued net positive premium and call volume dominance
Invalidation: Break below gamma flip level $80
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: 80 gamma flip; VIX direction; put/call ratio shift

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$14.5M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.75

P/C OI ratio: 0.71

TLT sees heavy call buying with net $14.5M long premium. Low vol and bullish flow support pinning near max pain. Bias remains bullish as long as spot holds above $80 gamma flip.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-30 $72.00 Call
Vol: 1,500
OI: 151
Vol/OI: 9.9x
IV: 59.0%
Notional: ~$2.1M
Intent: Bullish leverage
Dual read: Synthetic long

Read-through: Bullish

#2
TLT 2026-06-30 $80.00 Call
Vol: 3,103
OI: 327
Vol/OI: 9.5x
IV: 32.2%
Notional: ~$1.9M
Intent: ATM pinning
Dual read: Synthetic long

Read-through: Bullish

#3
TLT 2026-07-10 $94.00 Call
Vol: 1,516
OI: 167
Vol/OI: 9.1x
IV: 16.4%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Lottery ticket
Dual read: Spread component

Read-through: Bullish

#4
TLT 2026-07-02 $88.50 Call
Vol: 5,125
OI: 624
Vol/OI: 8.2x
IV: 10.8%
Notional: ~$26K
Intent: Event speculation
Dual read: Hedging

Read-through: Bullish

#5
TLT 2026-06-24 $73.00 Call
Vol: 718
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 6.8x
IV: 50.0%
Notional: ~$960K
Intent: Roll/exercise

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive buys at $72-$94 calls (vol/oi 5-10x)

Put additions: $84P added (4050 vol)

GEX/DEX consistency: Bullish flow aligns with +GEX/+DEX

OI clusters: Put OI heavy ~$74; gamma flip $80

Hedging evidence: Put OI below spot and $84P add suggest hedging

Max pain context: Spot at MP; pinning expected

Signal vs Noise

~Aggressive calls (strikes $72-$94) are bullish signal
~$84P put likely hedging noise

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions loading up on OTM calls, strong bullish tilt.
⚠️Put OI below spot and $84P add indicate hedging floor.
🎯Spot at max pain, gamma pinning suggests range-bound near MP.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.