base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Watch next session: 80 gamma flip; VIX direction; put/call ratio shift
Net premium: +$14.5M bullish
P/C volume ratio: 0.75
P/C OI ratio: 0.71
TLT sees heavy call buying with net $14.5M long premium. Low vol and bullish flow support pinning near max pain. Bias remains bullish as long as spot holds above $80 gamma flip.
#1TLT 2026-06-30 $72.00 Call
Intent: Bullish leverage
Dual read: Synthetic long
#2TLT 2026-06-30 $80.00 Call
Intent: ATM pinning
Dual read: Synthetic long
#3TLT 2026-07-10 $94.00 Call
Intent: Lottery ticket
Dual read: Spread component
#4TLT 2026-07-02 $88.50 Call
Intent: Event speculation
Dual read: Hedging
#5TLT 2026-06-24 $73.00 Call
Intent: Roll/exercise
Call additions: Aggressive buys at $72-$94 calls (vol/oi 5-10x)
Put additions: $84P added (4050 vol)
GEX/DEX consistency: Bullish flow aligns with +GEX/+DEX
OI clusters: Put OI heavy ~$74; gamma flip $80
Hedging evidence: Put OI below spot and $84P add suggest hedging
Max pain context: Spot at MP; pinning expected