thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.77EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.49
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.77
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call buying; spot holds above $80.50 gamma flip.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $80 gamma flip or put volume spikes.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.9% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $80.50 call activity; $85.50 put OI; VIX direction

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$42.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.55

P/C OI ratio: 0.76

Dominant bullish flow with $42.6M net premium and heavy call accumulation, particularly near-dated. Regime: Pinning, low vol, spot at MP. Unusual prints show high call vol/oi ratios. Confidence high; gamma flip at $80 is key support.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-18 $80.50 Call
Vol: 14,750
OI: 1,153
Vol/OI: 12.8x
IV: 32.2%
Notional: ~$8.2M
Intent: Bullish directional
Dual read: Possible short covering

Read-through: Expects rally above 80.50 by 6/18

#2
TLT 2026-06-26 $93.00 Call
Vol: 2,422
OI: 320
Vol/OI: 7.6x
IV: 18.8%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Speculative upside

Read-through: Long-shot bullish with low IV

#3
TLT 2026-06-17 $81.50 Call
Vol: 1,100
OI: 147
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 26.4%
Notional: ~$478K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
TLT 2026-06-30 $90.00 Put
Vol: 3,941
OI: 621
Vol/OI: 6.3x
IV: 15.4%
Notional: ~$1.6M
Intent: Bearish hedge
Dual read: Part of spread

Read-through: Bearish by end of June

#5
TLT 2026-06-17 $80.50 Call
Vol: 1,809
OI: 300
Vol/OI: 6.0x
IV: 31.3%
Notional: ~$977K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying at $80.5 (12.8x vol/OI) and $81.5, $76; OI building across 75-81 strikes.

Put additions: Minor put activity at $90 (6.3x) and $85.5 (5.2x), but OTM or close expiry.

GEX/DEX consistency: Strong alignment: +$1.2B GEX and +196M shares DEX support bullish flow.

OI clusters: Largest OI concentration at $80-81 strikes from elevated call volumes.

Hedging evidence: Modest put buys at $85.5 and $90 may serve as downside protection, not dominant.

Max pain context: Spot at max pain, pinning expected; gamma flip at $80 adds downside support.

Signal vs Noise

~Heavy call volume at $80.5 (12.8x) is strong bullish signal.
~93C (7.6x) at $0.01 is noise due to low premium and far OTM.
~Put volume at $85.5 and $90 are minor, likely hedging or noise.

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions building large call positions at $80-81, indicating bullish bias.
🛡️Gamma pinning at current levels with $80 flip support, downside limited.
🔊Net premium +$42.5M and low put/call ratio confirm bullish flow.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.