thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.77EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.49
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.77
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer flow report is available for June 12, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call demand above $80, GEX remains positive.
Invalidation: Price closes below gamma flip level at $80, triggering put-heavy flow.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $80 gamma flip; 80-90 call strikes

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$30.3M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.24

P/C OI ratio: 0.76

Net premium +$30M signals aggressive call buying, with unusual prints at $80 and $80.5 vol/oi >7x. GEX +$1.3B pinning near $80 despite mixed volume ratio.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-18 $80.00 Call
Vol: 5,254
OI: 386
Vol/OI: 13.6x
IV: 32.6%
Notional: ~$3.2M
Intent: Bullish
Dual read: Pinning

Read-through: Bullish

#2
TLT 2026-06-17 $80.00 Call
Vol: 2,096
OI: 185
Vol/OI: 11.3x
IV: 31.1%
Notional: ~$1.3M
Intent: Bullish
Dual read: Pinning

Read-through: Bullish

#3
TLT 2027-05-21 $85.00 Call
Vol: 5,245
OI: 704
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 11.7%
Notional: ~$2.3M
Intent: Long-term bull

Read-through: Neutral

#4
TLT 2026-06-18 $80.50 Call
Vol: 14,750
OI: 2,053
Vol/OI: 7.2x
IV: 30.5%
Notional: ~$8.2M
Intent: Strong bullish

Read-through: Bullish

#5
TLT 2026-06-12 $77.00 Call
Vol: 894
OI: 125
Vol/OI: 7.2x
IV: 82.4%
Notional: ~$804K
Intent: Speculation

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Large call volume at $80-85 strikes (80,80.5,85) with vol/oi >7, plus 2027 call.

Put additions: Puts added at $89-90 strikes, vol/oi ~5-6, and put OI concentration at $80 (117K).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$1.3B and DEX +196.6M shares align with pinning regime; mixed flow consistent.

OI clusters: Largest OI at $80 put (117K) and likely at $80-85 calls from unusual activity.

Hedging evidence: Call buying at lower strikes and put buying at higher strikes suggests collar structure.

Max pain context: Spot above MP, gamma pinning near $80, call wall at 80-85.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Repeated large call sweeps at $80 and $80.5 with IV expansion confirm institutional bullish positioning.
~Noise: Broad market rally and net premium stat are secondary to specific flow patterns.

Key Conclusions

🚀Institutions aggressively adding calls at 80-85, bullish tilt.
⚠️Put hedging at 89-90 and gamma flip at 80 suggest downside protection.
📊GEX/DEX positive and pinning regime indicates rangebound near 80-86.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.