thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.06EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 8, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.46
0.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
0.75
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Continued call volume and price holding above $80 gamma flip
Invalidation: Price breaks below $80 or large put block emerges
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Put/call ratio; Unusual option activity; Gamma flip level

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$16.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.90

P/C OI ratio: 0.77

Bullish call buying dominates with unusual prints at $80-81 strikes. Net premium positive, low put/call ratio. Negative gamma adds volatility risk. Sustain above $80 confirms. Watch for put block or breakdown.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-17 $80.50 Call
Vol: 12,850
OI: 350
Vol/OI: 36.7x
IV: 24.6%
Notional: ~$5.7M
Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Expects rally to $80.5 by June

#2
TLT 2026-06-17 $80.00 Call
Vol: 11,250
OI: 351
Vol/OI: 32.0x
IV: 26.9%
Notional: ~$5.6M
Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Expects rally to $80 by June

#3
TLT 2026-06-15 $88.00 Call
Vol: 3,105
OI: 124
Vol/OI: 25.0x
IV: 15.8%
Notional: ~$9K
Intent: Speculative

Read-through: Lottery ticket on spike

#4
TLT 2026-06-17 $88.00 Call
Vol: 2,450
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 23.8x
IV: 14.8%
Notional: ~$12K
Intent: Speculative

Read-through: Lottery ticket on spike

#5
TLT 2027-03-19 $84.00 Put
Vol: 2,506
OI: 134
Vol/OI: 18.7x
IV: 12.0%
Notional: ~$764K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Hedge or bearish bet

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying at $80-80.5 (Jun17) and upside calls at $85.5, $88, $88.5, $89.5 (weekly/Jul).

Put additions: Notable put additions at $84 (long-dated 2027) and $84.5 (Jun10).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -$51.4M vs DEX +184.1M shares; flow mixed, dealers net short gamma.

OI clusters: Largest OI: $84.5 put (828), $80 & $80.5 calls (~350 each), $88 calls (~100).

Hedging evidence: Long-dated $84 put (2027) and $84.5 put (Jun10) suggest hedging downside.

Max pain context: Spot near max pain; regime flags 'At' MP.

Signal vs Noise

~Heavy call volume at $80-80.5 is real, likely positioning for upside.
~Low OTM call volume at $88+ is noise, low IV and OI.
~Put volume at $84.5 (7.7x OI) is signal for near-term hedging.
~GEX/DEX divergence may be noise due to large put OI weighting.

Key Conclusions

📈Bond bulls accumulate calls at $80-80.5; upside skew implies expected TLT rally.
🛡️Long-dated put at $84 signals protective hedge against rate rise.
⚠️Dealers net short gamma; negative GEX may amplify moves.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.