thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.50EOD only
Max Pain
$85.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
0.5% from close
Price Gap
+0.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
9
Low premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 5, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: TLT breaks below gamma flip at 80; put volume remains elevated.
Invalidation: Price closes above 86 with significant call buying; GEX turns positive.
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 22

Watch next session: Monitor price action near 80 gamma flip; Watch for gamma squeeze if spot moves up

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$6.9M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.39

P/C OI ratio: 0.75

Heavy put flow and negative gamma signal bearish pressure on TLT. Outsize call buying at 85.5 suggests hedging against short positions or a speculative upside bet. Breakdown below 80 would confirm bearish trend.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-12 $81.50 Call
Vol: 13,908
OI: 300
Vol/OI: 46.4x
IV: 25.0%
Notional: ~$5.3M
Intent: Bull gamma

Read-through: Bounce

#2
TLT 2026-07-02 $83.50 Put
Vol: 13,187
OI: 510
Vol/OI: 25.9x
IV: 11.0%
Notional: ~$567K
Intent: Bearish

Read-through: Down

#3
TLT 2026-08-21 $77.00 Put
Vol: 31,830
OI: 2,037
Vol/OI: 15.6x
IV: 14.4%
Notional: ~$477K
Intent: Hedge

Read-through: Tail risk

#4
TLT 2026-06-12 $85.50 Call
Vol: 50,708
OI: 3,980
Vol/OI: 12.7x
IV: 9.3%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Aggr bull

Read-through: Expiry

#5
TLT 2026-07-10 $86.00 Call
Vol: 4,323
OI: 516
Vol/OI: 8.4x
IV: 10.2%
Notional: ~$298K
Intent: Bull

Read-through: Buy

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls at 81.5/85.5 with vol/oi >10: bullish bets

Put additions: Puts at 83.5/77/81: hedging & bearish

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -469M vs DEX +179M: hedging divergence

OI clusters: Largest OIs: $81 put (6K), $85.5 call (4K); gamma flip $80

Hedging evidence: Puts low IV, high volumes: tail hedges

Max pain context: Spot at MP; pin expected

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi calls signal bullish positioning
~Net premium negative & put/call ratio>1 confirms bearish flow
~Large put volume with low IV is hedging, not directional

Key Conclusions

🔥Calls at 81.5/85.5 with vol/oi>10: bullish bets
🛡️Heavy puts at 83.5/81 with low IV: tail hedges
⚠️Negative GEX & bearish flow regime signal downside risk
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 5, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.