Watch next session: Monitor price action near 80 gamma flip; Watch for gamma squeeze if spot moves up
Net premium: -$6.9M bearish
P/C volume ratio: 1.39
P/C OI ratio: 0.75
Heavy put flow and negative gamma signal bearish pressure on TLT. Outsize call buying at 85.5 suggests hedging against short positions or a speculative upside bet. Breakdown below 80 would confirm bearish trend.
#1TLT 2026-06-12 $81.50 Call
Intent: Bull gamma
#2TLT 2026-07-02 $83.50 Put
Intent: Bearish
#3TLT 2026-08-21 $77.00 Put
Intent: Hedge
#4TLT 2026-06-12 $85.50 Call
Intent: Aggr bull
#5TLT 2026-07-10 $86.00 Call
Intent: Bull
Call additions: Calls at 81.5/85.5 with vol/oi >10: bullish bets
Put additions: Puts at 83.5/77/81: hedging & bearish
GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -469M vs DEX +179M: hedging divergence
OI clusters: Largest OIs: $81 put (6K), $85.5 call (4K); gamma flip $80
Hedging evidence: Puts low IV, high volumes: tail hedges
Max pain context: Spot at MP; pin expected
~High vol/oi calls signal bullish positioning
~Net premium negative & put/call ratio>1 confirms bearish flow
~Large put volume with low IV is hedging, not directional