thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.50EOD only
Max Pain
$85.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
0.5% from close
Price Gap
+0.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
9
Low premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $80 gamma flip with continued call flow; put/call OI ratio remains below 0.8.
Invalidation: Sustained put buying or VIX spike above 20; breakdown below $79.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.0% from MP; +1 VIX 15

Watch next session: 80; VIX

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$17.0M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.28

P/C OI ratio: 0.74

Heavy call accumulation (e.g., 81C, 80C) dominates, net premium +$17M. Low vol and pinning support bullish bias. Large 85P print expiring tomorrow likely hedging. Regime and gamma positive for upside.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-06-12 $81.00 Call
Vol: 10,904
OI: 413
Vol/OI: 26.4x
IV: 26.2%
Notional: ~$5.1M
Intent: Bullish bet on near-term rally

Read-through: Expects bond rally; big vols

#2
TLT 2026-06-10 $80.50 Call
Vol: 5,506
OI: 423
Vol/OI: 13.0x
IV: 29.1%
Notional: ~$2.8M
Intent: Similar bullish call buying

Read-through: Aggressive bet on gap fill

#3
TLT 2026-06-10 $81.50 Call
Vol: 1,802
OI: 201
Vol/OI: 9.0x
IV: 24.4%
Notional: ~$742K
Intent: Bullish speculation OTM

Read-through: Bet on high volatility

#4
TLT 2026-06-12 $80.00 Call
Vol: 2,604
OI: 347
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 30.6%
Notional: ~$1.5M
Intent: ATM call buying

Read-through: Direct play on upside

#5
TLT 2026-06-08 $77.00 Call
Vol: 4,300
OI: 650
Vol/OI: 6.6x
IV: 53.5%
Notional: ~$3.6M
Intent: Bullish deep ITM call

Read-through: Delta positioning

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: 80-81C near-term, 90C long-term

Put additions: 88P Jul, 85P 0DTE

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX $+772M, DEX +179M shares

OI clusters: 85P (10k), 90C (785)

Hedging evidence: Puts at 88 & 85 hedge

Max pain context: Spot at MP, pinning

Signal vs Noise

~Heavy call prints at low IV signal bullish flow
~0DTE put at 85 likely noise
~Call spread at 80-81 confirms accumulation

Key Conclusions

📈Call building at 80-81 strikes; GEX supportive.
⚠️Put volume elevated; mixed flow near MP.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.