thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $220.78EOD only
Max Pain
$212.50
Next expiry May 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.07
1.8% from close
Price Gap
-8.28
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 12, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 out of 10 because bullish signals are strong (flow, GEX, historical beats) but earnings in 7 days caps conviction at 8; the binary event risk prevents a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three perspectives agree on a bullish near-term bias for NVDA, supported by dealer gamma pinning, aggressive call flow, and a 100% historical earnings beat rate.

Where They Diverge

Earnings event on May 20 introduces binary outcome and post-event IV crush that could invalidate the delta-driven bullish thesis if spot fails to move higher pre-event, despite strong flow and GEX alignment.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell May 22 Iron Condor: short 215/212.5 put spread and short 245/250 call spread for net credit ~$1.00

Key Risk

Break below $225 heavy put support invalidates bullish pin; triggers dealer gamma flip and downside acceleration to $215 max pain and potentially $190.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.