thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $198.35EOD only
Max Pain
$182.50
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.81
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-15.85
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
55
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.85
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because strong GEX/flow alignment supports a sustained pin but conviction is capped by spot sitting well above the midpoint and an undefined near-term event/earnings risk that could rapidly invalidate the setup.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus is bullish pinning above the midpoint with dealer gamma and buy flow supporting continued upside into the $207–212 area while pullbacks toward $196–200 remain buyable.

Where They Diverge

Potential conflict: directional upside thesis assumes calm through near-term windows, while unidentified earnings/theta risks could favor premium-selling or event hedges that would reduce outright long exposure; that structural event risk could invert positioning if realized vol jumps.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy May29 $200/$210 call spread for approx. $4.50 debit (directional defined-risk bullish).

Key Risk

A clean break below $196 (sustained close) flips dealer gamma support, triggers stop cascades and momentum selling, accelerating downside toward $185 support and invalidating the upside pin thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NVDA for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.