thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $219.51EOD only
Max Pain
$215.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.50
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-4.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 9 because the earnings event risk is a known unknown that could invalidate the pin thesis regardless of current positioning; if event passes without disruption, conviction would rise to 9.5.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin near $220 with dealer gamma support, heavy call accumulation at $222.5-$225, and elevated put premiums offering income opportunities all reinforce a bullish bias.

Where They Diverge

Earnings perspective flags event date uncertainty and post-event IV crush, which directly undermines the theta and flow thesis that the pin will hold without a sharp binary move.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Jun 12 $215/$210 put spread for $1.50 credit – profits from pin and time decay, defined risk.

Key Risk

Break below $220 support triggers dealer gamma flip and stop-loss cascade, accelerating downside toward $215 max pain and potentially $210.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.