thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $199.88EOD only
Max Pain
$197.50
Next expiry Apr 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.99
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-2.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 21, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 because dealer gamma and institutional flow align on a near-term pin and limited upside, but the upcoming earnings/event binary and the risk of a gap through the pin prevent higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned near the $200 area with dealer gamma and bullish flow creating a magnet to $200–206 and supporting a capped but extendable upside to ~212–213 if buying continues.

Where They Diverge

Earnings term-structure and event risk introduce a binary that can produce a post-event IV spike and fade, directly undermining the directional continuation beyond the pin even though flow and GEX are bullish.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 22 $200/$195 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk premium sell into the pin).

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $195 on heavy volume removes the dealer pin, flips gamma dynamics, and would accelerate downside toward the $185–$188 gap-fill area, invalidating the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.