ThetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $188.63EOD only
Max Pain
$180.00
Next expiry Apr 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.10
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-8.63
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.88
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

Score 7 because strong, aligned dealer gamma and a premium-rich structure produce repeatable, defined-risk opportunities; not higher because spot > max-pain and the possibility of undisclosed institutional flow or a near-term event could rapidly invalidate short-premium trades and trigger a gamma flip.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a dealer-driven pin near $190 (short-gamma concentration creates a magnet), making neutral-to-bullish, premium-rich trade setups the natural bias while dealers amplify directional moves away from the pin.

Where They Diverge

The main incompatible threads are procedural: directional and theta favor short-premium/defined-risk bearish wings around the pin, while an unreported but possible flow signal (institutional block accumulation or large buy prints) would directly contradict the pin by fueling a sustained break above $193; likewise, spot sitting meaningfully above longer-dated max-pain undermines upside conviction — if institutions are actually accumulating for higher targets, the short-premium thesis becomes hazardous rather than profitable.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 08 185/180 put spread for credit (defined-risk put spread, ~30–45d); expected credit ≈ $0.60.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $183.80 (dealer pin lower guard) would flip dealer gamma, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the next structural support near $175 — this level-and-trigger scenario invalidates the short-premium/neutral-bull thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NVDA for 2026-04-10. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.