thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $212.60EOD only
Max Pain
$210.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.86
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-2.60
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
27
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.81
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 27, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 27, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
7.0

out of 10

Score 7 because strong, aligned dealer gamma and a premium-rich structure produce repeatable, defined-risk opportunities; not higher because spot > max-pain and the possibility of undisclosed institutional flow or a near-term event could rapidly invalidate short-premium trades and trigger a gamma flip.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a dealer-driven pin near $190 (short-gamma concentration creates a magnet), making neutral-to-bullish, premium-rich trade setups the natural bias while dealers amplify directional moves away from the pin.

Where They Diverge

The main incompatible threads are procedural: directional and theta favor short-premium/defined-risk bearish wings around the pin, while an unreported but possible flow signal (institutional block accumulation or large buy prints) would directly contradict the pin by fueling a sustained break above $193; likewise, spot sitting meaningfully above longer-dated max-pain undermines upside conviction — if institutions are actually accumulating for higher targets, the short-premium thesis becomes hazardous rather than profitable.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 08 185/180 put spread for credit (defined-risk put spread, ~30–45d); expected credit ≈ $0.60.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $183.80 (dealer pin lower guard) would flip dealer gamma, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the next structural support near $175 — this level-and-trigger scenario invalidates the short-premium/neutral-bull thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.