thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $202.50EOD only
Max Pain
$190.00
Next expiry Apr 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.18
2.1% from close
Price Gap
-12.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
12
Low premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 22, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because persistent dealer gamma and buy-flow materially tilt price higher, but conviction is capped by concentrated put OI in the pin band plus an upcoming earnings/catalyst that could produce a rapid IV and directional repricing.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is bullishly biased with dealer gamma and buy-flow supporting a pin in the high-$190s that favors upside drift while simultaneously capping rallies inside the $192–$200 band.

Where They Diverge

Theta and directional favor selling defined-risk premium into the pin, but the earnings/event persona warns a nearby binary could lift IV and invalidate premium-selling; flow shows institutional accumulation that supports continuation but also increases convexity risk if stops trigger — earnings-term risk directly undermines the safest theta plays.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 185/175 put spread for ~ $0.60 credit (defined-risk premium sell that profits if pin holds through near-term event).

Key Risk

Break and close below $192 removes dealer gamma support that underpins the pin and triggers rapid downside unwind toward the $175 area, invalidating the bullish pin and collapsing premium-selling rationale.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.