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NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $196.51EOD only
Max Pain
$185.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.04
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-11.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
66
High premium
P/C OI
0.87
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because multiple signals align on a pin toward the $195 area (flow, dealer gamma, and short-term positioning), but conviction is capped by two asymmetric risks: an imminent earnings/expiry cluster that can produce binary IV moves and the opposing max-pain drift that could negate upside momentum — both can rapidly flip P/L dynamics for premium sellers and directional longs.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pinning toward the high-$180s/low-$200s area with dealer short-gamma amplifying directional moves — consensus is a neutral-to-bullish, premium-rich market where selling time premium around the $195 strike captures the magnet and dealer flows.

Where They Diverge

Theta-focused premium sellers want to continuously harvest around $195 but the earnings/event regime and concentrated institution-led flow raise the risk of sharp IV spikes that would punish naked/under-hedged short premium; directional sees upside magnet into $195–$200 while the max-pain ladder trending lower (185→180) implies structural mean-reversion pressure that would undermine a clean bullish continuation.

Top Trade
via theta

Buy calendar: Buy 2026-05-29 $195 call, sell 2026-04-17 $195 call for a small debit (calendar) to monetize pinning while limiting outright directional exposure.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $172.50 within 48 hours (sustained put-heavy repricing) would flip dealer gamma and liquidity — triggering aggressive hedging and downside acceleration toward the $150s, invalidating the pin/bullish premium trade.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NVDA for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.