thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $202.06EOD only
Max Pain
$195.00
Next expiry Apr 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.12
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-7.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 20, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, GEX and ongoing buy-side flow align bullishly but an upcoming binary/event window and the concentrated gamma pin create a single large downside catalyst that can invalidate momentum quickly.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term pin ~198–202 with bullish tilt: dealer gamma concentration creates a magnet that supports modest upside, but significant follow-through requires large external demand.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows institutional accumulation and buy-side prints consistent with continuation while earnings term structure and near-term event risk imply a post-event volatility compression and potential fade — the event-led IV decay would directly undermine the buy-side continuation thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Call diagonal — Sell 2026-05-08 $205 call / Buy 2026-06-18 $220 call for ~ $0.35 credit (net credit expected).

Key Risk

Break below $196.90 (sustained) flips dealer gamma positioning, removes the pin and accelerates downside toward the $189–$190 support band, invalidating the bullish continuation.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.