thetaOwl
HomeOptionsNVDAReports

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $198.87EOD only
Max Pain
$180.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.52
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-18.87
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.85
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because on balance positioning, GEX and flow align to support a $200 pin, but conviction is capped by two asymmetric invalidators: a binary earnings event in 35 days that can wipe out premia and the recent large put prints that could signal protective buying or imminent mean reversion — both can rapidly reverse the current setup.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus is a bullish pin toward $200—dealer short-gamma and sustained bullish flow create a magnet into the $200 area, making selling premium into that level the highest-probability play pre-earnings.

Where They Diverge

Flow and directional views both show institutional accumulation and GEX pinning into $200, but the earnings persona warns of elevated term-structure risk into May‑20 that could reprice options and flip the trade post-event; additionally, same‑day put blocks introduce short-term ambiguity that undermines the unbroken continuation thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-17 $200/$205 call spread for credit (theta premium sell into pin, expires pre-earnings).

Key Risk

A decisive break below $190 (clearing near-term MP support) would flip dealer positioning out of short-gamma, remove the $200 magnet, and accelerate downside toward $180 as stop‑runs and gamma decay compound losses.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NVDA for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.