thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $189.31EOD only
Max Pain
$185.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.52
1.9% from close
Price Gap
-4.31
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
7
Low premium
P/C OI
0.87
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because multiple signals align on a $190 pin and dealer gamma support, but conviction is tempered by recurrent intraday gamma events and the clear vulnerability of short-dated premium to sudden VIX/flow shifts—enough to trade bullish but with defined risk, not size-it-up naked selling.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market positioning and dealer gamma create a strong pin around $190 with a modest bullish bias into the near-term expiries; momentum and flow both favor staying above the $185–190 complex and amplify directional moves when that pin is breached.

Where They Diverge

Theta and short-premium recommendations clash with flow and directional warnings about short-dated vol spikes—flow/ directional see institutional accumulation and dealer short-gamma that suggest strength, but theta warns zero-DTE prints and VIX upticks make naked/complex premium selling vulnerable; additionally, put demand and cheap tail hedges (from higher VIX) undermine confident low-risk assumptions for heavy short premium exposure.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 $185/$180 put spread for ~credit (defined-risk bullish roll into the pin).

Key Risk

A sustained break and daily close below $180 (trigger: failure to reclaim $180 on daily basis and follow-through selling into $178 intraday) would flip dealer gamma/positioning, unwind the $190 pin and accelerate downside toward $170–$172 gap support, invalidating the bullish pin thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for NVDA for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.