thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $211.14EOD only
Max Pain
$210.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.36
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-1.14
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
45
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
NVDA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because dealer short-gamma and concentrated max-pain create a strong mechanical bias that supports the sticky range, but conviction is capped by mixed signals from institutional flow and the proximity of near-term expiries/earnings risk which can invalidate the pin quickly; that binary event and rolling of large positions prevent a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a short-term pinning regime: dealers are short-gamma around the 175–185 area, creating a sticky range that favors premium sellers and mutes immediate large directional moves unless a clear trigger appears.

Where They Diverge

There is a real timing/sequence conflict: flow signals (institutional buys) point to a build in directional exposure that would underpin further upside, while earnings/term-structure positioning and front-end pinning imply dealers are positioned to pinch price into max-pain into expiries — institutional accumulation could be offset or even reversed by an earnings-driven post-event fade, directly undermining a clean continuation higher.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 10 182.50/187.50 call spread for a net credit (defined-risk, front-week premium sell)

Key Risk

A decisive break and sustained prints below $172.50 (piercing the lower edge of the current sticky range) will flip dealer exposure, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the next structural support around $160 within 24-48 hours — this single market move invalidates the premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.