thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.28EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.68
2.1% from close
Price Gap
-0.78
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
4
Low premium
P/C OI
1.30
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 25, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above $25.00 (gamma flip) and put/call volume ratio stays below 1.0
Invalidation: Break below $25.00 or put/call volume ratio exceeds 1.5
Confidence:
4.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.8% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: $25.00; $36.00 call strike

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$2.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.74

P/C OI ratio: 1.29

Net premium -$2.4M; put/call vol ratio 0.74 (call-heavy flow) but OI ratio 1.29 (put-heavy positioning). Unusual prints: 637x front-week $32.50 puts, 421x $36 calls. Gamma pinning positive $21.4M; spot above MP. Mixed flows suggest short-term call buying against persistent put open interest.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-06-26 $32.50 Put
Vol: 637
OI: 229
Vol/OI: 2.8x
IV: 76.6%
Notional: ~$1K
Intent: Bearish speculation or hedge at low cost near expiration
Dual read: Possible closing of short put positions

Read-through: Expects drop or protection against decline

#2
CMG 2026-12-18 $31.60 Put
Vol: 413
OI: 181
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 40.9%
Notional: ~$109K
Intent: Long-term bearish bet or portfolio hedge

Read-through: Bearish sentiment extending to year-end

#3
CMG 2026-07-02 $36.00 Call
Vol: 421
OI: 229
Vol/OI: 1.8x
IV: 36.7%
Notional: ~$1K
Intent: Speculative bullish bet on near-term upside
Dual read: Could be part of a call spread

Read-through: Expects short-term upward movement

#4
CMG 2026-07-02 $33.00 Put
Vol: 382
OI: 208
Vol/OI: 1.8x
IV: 33.0%
Notional: ~$15K
Intent: Bearish or hedging position before expiration
Dual read: May be paired with call to form a strangle

Read-through: Uncertainty around weekly expiration

#5
CMG 2026-12-18 $60.40 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$280K
Intent: Large directional bet or protective put on deep ITM strike
Dual read: Possible part of a collar or bear spread

Read-through: Strong bearish view or hedging at high strike

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Moderate call volume (P/C vol 0.74) with weekly $36C unusual (421 vol).

Put additions: Heavy put OI build; weekly $32.5P vol/oi 2.8, Dec $31.6P vol/oi 2.3.

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX ($21.4M) and DEX (+20M) consistent with pinning.

OI clusters: Put OI concentrated ~25% below spot near $32.5; call OI likely higher.

Hedging evidence: Short-dated puts (weekly, monthly) suggest downside hedging.

Max pain context: Spot above MP; pinning may drag lower.

Signal vs Noise

~Put OI build vs light volume divergence – real bearish signal
~Weekly $32.5P and Dec $31.6P high vol/oi ratios – real activity
~Positive GEX/DEX – real pinning support
~Negative net premium – real selling pressure
~Regime 'Mixed' – noise; conflicting short-term signals

Key Conclusions

⚠️Spot above MP; expect pin to pull lower
🛡️Put-heavy OI suggests bearish positioning
📌Positive gamma pinning may contain upside
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.