thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $31.69EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.80
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip and call premium persists
Invalidation: Put OI expands further and spot breaks gamma flip
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Put-call volume ratio; Gamma flip level; Unusual print follow-through

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$3.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.58

P/C OI ratio: 1.31

Mixed flow: negative net premium and high put OI, but aggressive call buying in deep OTM $40 strike suggests speculative bullish positioning. Negative gamma leans bearish short-term; DEX positive provides support.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-08-21 $40.00 Call
Vol: 1,049
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 10.0x
IV: 46.9%
Notional: ~$33K
Intent: Speculative bullish bet on upside
Dual read: Could be part of a ladder or long call spread

Read-through: Aggressive bullish sentiment

#2
CMG 2026-12-18 $60.40 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$280K
Intent: Bearish hedge or outright put purchase
Dual read: May be covering a short call position

Read-through: Bearish sentiment or downside protection

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aug 21 $40 call: 1049 vol, 10x OI, bullish speculation

Put additions: Dec 18 $60.40 put: 200 vol, 1.7x OI, downside hedge

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$13.6M) vs positive DEX (+19.8M shares) shows mixed dealer stance

OI clusters: Put OI concentration 21.1% below spot (143.9K contracts)

Hedging evidence: Put print likely institutional hedge; call print speculative

Max pain context: Spot at MP ($60.40), gamma flip at $25 suggests pin action

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual call volume (10x OI) is real bullish signal
~Put OI concentration below spot is real hedging signal
~Small net premium (-$3.8M) is noise given large OI

Key Conclusions

🐂CMG: Aug 21 $40 call surge signals upside speculation despite bearish bias
⚠️Put OI cluster below spot suggests hedging pressure, but spot at MP limits downside
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.