thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.49EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.29
4.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.99
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.05
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $34.80, continued call volume in weekly expirations
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $34.80 or spike in put IV/volume
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.5% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: Monitor $34.80 support; Watch weekly expiration pin; VIX direction

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$8.6M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.74

P/C OI ratio: 1.05

Mixed flow but positive gamma pinning and aggressive call buying in near-dated expirations tilt bullish. Put activity is hedging, not structural selling. Net premium negative but call volume dominant.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-06-26 $34.50 Call
Vol: 1,416
OI: 208
Vol/OI: 6.8x
IV: 35.9%
Notional: ~$21K
Intent: bullish speculation
Dual read: covering short calls

Read-through: expects stock above $34.50

#2
CMG 2026-06-26 $32.50 Call
Vol: 1,043
OI: 302
Vol/OI: 3.5x
IV: 34.7%
Notional: ~$65K
Intent: bullish bet

Read-through: targets $32.50+ by 6/26

#3
CMG 2026-07-02 $35.00 Call
Vol: 1,062
OI: 388
Vol/OI: 2.7x
IV: 39.6%
Notional: ~$20K
Intent: bullish continuation
Dual read: calendar spread component

Read-through: rally to $35 by early July

#4
CMG 2026-06-18 $45.00 Put
Vol: 628
OI: 270
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 262.5%
Notional: ~$779K
Intent: deep hedge or bearish

Read-through: expects drop below $45 soon

#5
CMG 2026-06-26 $34.00 Call
Vol: 1,385
OI: 643
Vol/OI: 2.1x
IV: 36.3%
Notional: ~$24K
Intent: bullish upside

Read-through: anticipates move above $34

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Short-dated calls at $34.5, $32.5, $35, $34 strikes; 6/26 & 7/2 exp.

Put additions: Puts at $45 (deep OTM, high IV), $34.8, $32.5, and Dec $60.4.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$1.2M, DEX +23.7M — both positive, consistent with pinning.

OI clusters: Largest OI near $34.5C, $32.5C, $34.8P, $45P.

Hedging evidence: High IV on 6/18 puts (262%) and long-dated put indicate tail hedging.

Max pain context: Spot ~1.5% above MP; GEX pinning near $34-35.

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual call volume at $34.5, $32.5, $35 is real signal; large put OI at $34.8 indicates hedging.
~Low vol/oi ratio on some prints is noise.

Key Conclusions

📊Institutions adding calls near pin, hedging with high-IV puts.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.