thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.73EOD only
Max Pain
$32.40
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.00
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.33
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
60
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
4.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Continued put buying or price breaks below gamma flip at 25.
Invalidation: Price rallies above max pain or surge in call buying.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: CMG 2026-06-18 $37.20 Put; CMG 2026-06-18 $38.00 Put

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$6.9M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.84

P/C OI ratio: 1.07

Heavy put buying dominates with net premium -$6.9M, negative gamma, and high IV near-term puts. DEX positive suggests dealers delta-hedged calls, but overall bearish flow. Spot at max pain. Bearish bias unless price holds above gamma flip.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-06-18 $37.20 Put
Vol: 1,354
OI: 403
Vol/OI: 3.4x
IV: 111.7%
Notional: ~$880K
Intent: Bearish speculation or hedge
Dual read: Hedging downside risk

Read-through: Bearish sentiment near expiry

#2
CMG 2026-06-18 $38.00 Put
Vol: 1,304
OI: 431
Vol/OI: 3.0x
IV: 113.7%
Notional: ~$939K
Intent: Bearish bet
Dual read: Hedge

Read-through: Similar to $37.20 put

#3
CMG 2026-06-18 $48.00 Put
Vol: 355
OI: 150
Vol/OI: 2.4x
IV: 232.8%
Notional: ~$543K
Intent: Extreme bearish speculation
Dual read: Lottery ticket

Read-through: High IV indicates fear

#4
CMG 2026-06-18 $45.00 Put
Vol: 625
OI: 270
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 201.6%
Notional: ~$834K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Hedge

Read-through: Consistent with other puts

#5
CMG 2026-06-18 $34.50 Call
Vol: 352
OI: 183
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 52.0%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Cheap upside bet

Read-through: Low risk if wrong

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Modest call at $34.50 (vol/OI 1.9), negligible

Put additions: Heavy puts at $37.20/$38 (vol/OI 3.4/3.0) and $45/$48 (2.3/2.4)

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -$9.4M vs DEX +23.6M consistent with put hedging

OI clusters: Put OI concentration at $37.20/$38 and $60.40 Dec; call OI light

Hedging evidence: Long-dated $60.40 Dec put and $48/$45 puts could indicate tail hedge

Max pain context: Put OI 23.3% below spot suggests MP lower than current

Signal vs Noise

~Real signal: concentrated put buying at $37.20/$38 with high vol/OI
~Noise: low-volume call at $34.50 and small puts at $33

Key Conclusions

How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.