Watch next session: CMG 2026-06-18 $37.20 Put; CMG 2026-06-18 $38.00 Put
Net premium: -$6.9M bearish
P/C volume ratio: 0.84
P/C OI ratio: 1.07
Heavy put buying dominates with net premium -$6.9M, negative gamma, and high IV near-term puts. DEX positive suggests dealers delta-hedged calls, but overall bearish flow. Spot at max pain. Bearish bias unless price holds above gamma flip.
#1CMG 2026-06-18 $37.20 Put
Intent: Bearish speculation or hedge
Dual read: Hedging downside risk
Read-through: Bearish sentiment near expiry
#2CMG 2026-06-18 $38.00 Put
Intent: Bearish bet
Dual read: Hedge
Read-through: Similar to $37.20 put
#3CMG 2026-06-18 $48.00 Put
Intent: Extreme bearish speculation
Dual read: Lottery ticket
Read-through: High IV indicates fear
#4CMG 2026-06-18 $45.00 Put
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Hedge
Read-through: Consistent with other puts
#5CMG 2026-06-18 $34.50 Call
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Cheap upside bet
Read-through: Low risk if wrong
Call additions: Modest call at $34.50 (vol/OI 1.9), negligible
Put additions: Heavy puts at $37.20/$38 (vol/OI 3.4/3.0) and $45/$48 (2.3/2.4)
GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -$9.4M vs DEX +23.6M consistent with put hedging
OI clusters: Put OI concentration at $37.20/$38 and $60.40 Dec; call OI light
Hedging evidence: Long-dated $60.40 Dec put and $48/$45 puts could indicate tail hedge
Max pain context: Put OI 23.3% below spot suggests MP lower than current
~Real signal: concentrated put buying at $37.20/$38 with high vol/OI
~Noise: low-volume call at $34.50 and small puts at $33