thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $31.86EOD only
Max Pain
$32.40
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.61
1.9% from close
Price Gap
+0.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.06
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 17, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained price action below $37.20 or increasing put volume at $34.80
Invalidation: Price reclaims $42.00 with a shift to positive net premium
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 spot 1.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: $37.20; $34.80; $42.00

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$15.2M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.94

P/C OI ratio: 1.06

Heavy put buying across multiple strikes, led by $40 and $39.20, with net premium negative $15.2M. Put/call ratio 1.94. Unusual prints signal aggressive downside positioning. Bearish regime confirmed. Key invalidation above $42.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-06-18 $39.20 Put
Vol: 1,932
OI: 575
Vol/OI: 3.4x
IV: 280.5%
Notional: ~$1.5M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#2
CMG 2026-06-18 $40.00 Put
Vol: 5,623
OI: 1,701
Vol/OI: 3.3x
IV: 242.2%
Notional: ~$4.5M
Intent: Bearish positioning
Dual read: Hedging or bearish bet

Read-through: Large volume, bearish sentiment

#3
CMG 2026-06-18 $37.20 Put
Vol: 1,265
OI: 403
Vol/OI: 3.1x
IV: 227.5%
Notional: ~$582K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
CMG 2026-06-18 $45.00 Put
Vol: 628
OI: 270
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 379.7%
Notional: ~$779K
Intent: Bearish directional
Dual read: Hedging or speculation

Read-through: High IV, demand for protection

#5
CMG 2026-06-18 $48.00 Put
Vol: 260
OI: 150
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 436.7%
Notional: ~$399K
Intent: Hedging or bearish
Dual read: Extremely high IV

Read-through: Implies fear of large drop

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal; net premium -15.2M, P/C vol 1.94

Put additions: Heavy at $40, $39.2, $37.2 and Dec $60.4 put

GEX/DEX consistency: Consistent: neg GEX -19.5M, pos DEX +23.9M from put sales

OI clusters: Put OI at $40 (1701), $39.2 (575), $37.2 (403), $45 (270)

Hedging evidence: Protective puts possible; long-dated put suggests hedging

Max pain context: Spot ~1.7% below MP; bearish pin risk near $40

Signal vs Noise

~Heavy put buying at key strikes is real bearish signal
~Minimal call activity confirms bearish tilt
~Negative net premium and gamma align with regime

Key Conclusions

🐻Put flow dominates; net premium -$15.2M, P/C vol 1.94
⚠️Neg gamma & spot below MP amplify downside risk
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.