thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $32.49EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.29
4.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.99
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.05
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Increased put volume or spot break below gamma flip $25.
Invalidation: Sustained spot above gamma flip or reduction in put OI.
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 3.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: CMG 2026-07-10 $31.00 Call; CMG 2026-07-10 $31.00 Put

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$4.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.86

P/C OI ratio: 1.26

Mixed flow with bearish lean: net premium negative, put OI elevated, but call volume exceeds puts. Unusual prints show high activity in near-term $31 strikes. Negative gamma and spot below MP suggest downward pressure. Watch for confirmation via increased put volume or break below $25 gamma flip.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-07-10 $31.00 Call
Vol: 668
OI: 137
Vol/OI: 4.9x
IV: 39.5%
Notional: ~$66K
Intent: Straddle leg, bullish
Dual read: Short if sold

Read-through: High vol/oi, new position

#2
CMG 2026-07-10 $31.00 Put
Vol: 535
OI: 118
Vol/OI: 4.5x
IV: 37.3%
Notional: ~$64K
Intent: Straddle leg, bearish
Dual read: Hedge if protective

Read-through: Paired with call, expected move

#3
CMG 2026-07-02 $32.00 Call
Vol: 831
OI: 281
Vol/OI: 3.0x
IV: 41.4%
Notional: ~$32K
Intent: Bullish gamma
Dual read: Spread component

Read-through: Near-term call buying

#4
CMG 2026-06-26 $31.50 Call
Vol: 423
OI: 187
Vol/OI: 2.3x
IV: 43.3%
Notional: ~$9K
Intent: Bullish gamma
Dual read: Spread component

Read-through: Short-dated call

#5
CMG 2026-12-18 $60.40 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$280K
Intent: Bearish hedge
Dual read: Closing trade

Read-through: Deep ITM, low IV

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: High vol/oi at $31C Jul10 (4.9x), $32C Jul2 (3x), $31.5C Jun26 (2.3x)

Put additions: High vol/oi at $31P Jul10 (4.5x), $40P Jul17 (1.5x)

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX -25.4M (short gamma), DEX +20.1M (long delta) — inconsistent, dealers hedge both ways

OI clusters: Put OI concentration 143,928 at ~$25 (18.1% below spot) as gamma flip level

Hedging evidence: High IV Jul17 $40P suggests tail hedging

Max pain context: Spot below max pain, pinning expected toward higher strikes

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi on near-dated calls is real flow from aggressive call buyers
~Negative net premium and negative GEX confirm dealer short gamma vulnerability
~Ignore Dec18 $60.4P with 0% IV — likely stale or data error

Key Conclusions

⚠️Dealers short gamma with -$25.4M GEX; spot below MP and DEX positive — pinning risk
🐻Net premium negative despite call volume surge; put additions signal hedging bias
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.