thetaOwl

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Close $31.69EOD only
Max Pain
$31.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.80
2.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CMG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
CMG Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call volume at $33 strikes for Jul2 and Jul31; spot holds above gamma flip $25.
Invalidation: Drop below $25 with heavy put volume or call liquidation.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $33 call accumulation; gamma flip level $25

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$3.5M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.79

P/C OI ratio: 1.30

Bullish flow from unusual near-term call sweeps and positive dealer gamma. Net premium positive from call buying. Spot above MP and pinning. VIX moderate.

Notable Prints

#1
CMG 2026-07-31 $33.00 Call
Vol: 1,013
OI: 180
Vol/OI: 5.6x
IV: 52.9%
Notional: ~$160K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#2
CMG 2026-07-02 $33.00 Call
Vol: 2,895
OI: 1,059
Vol/OI: 2.7x
IV: 35.8%
Notional: ~$101K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
CMG 2026-12-18 $60.40 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 116
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$280K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Large call buys at $33 strikes (Jul 2 & Jul 31).

Put additions: Dec18 $60.40 put added, likely distressed/off-market (0IV).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX+$2.5M & DEX+19.5M consistent with call flow, net premium negative suggests put selling offsets.

OI clusters: Put OI concentrated ~22.6% below spot.

Hedging evidence: Dec18 $60.40 put with 0IV appears distressed/off-market, not a typical hedge.

Max pain context: Spot above MP; pinning expected.

Signal vs Noise

~Call accumulation at $33 (high vol/oi) is real bullish signal.
~Dec 18 $60.40 put with 0IV is noise (distressed or off-market).
~Net premium negative despite positive GEX suggests noise in premium calculation.

Key Conclusions

🚀Institutions adding calls at $33 (Jul2 2.7x, Jul31 5.6x vol/oi).
⚠️Spot above MP with pinning gamma; risk of drift lower.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.