AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.Close $255.36EOD onlyThis page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bias: modestly bullish — dealer-positive flow and large positive GEX are pinning spot into the near-term max-pain band near $245–$248 while spot sits modestly above MP; expect constrained upside toward $260 with reversion risk if broader market weakens.
Conflicts: Spot above MP (pullback risk); broader market softness could overwhelm local pinning.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+410.6M
DEX: +154.9M shares
Gamma flip: ~$200 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 35,592 (21.6% below spot))
NTM gamma: Net positive GEX ~+$410M with net long dex; dealers long gamma near spot causing pinning into expiries; gamma flip distant (~$200).
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: AMZN IV is in line with its 30-day historical mean; slightly cheaper than recent SPX/VIX moves, lowering premium drag on directional trades.
Term structure: Flat-to-gently upward term-structure with near-term kinks at immediate expiries (max-pain cluster), implying concentrated short-dated positioning.
Skew: Put-heavy OI below spot creates asymmetric dealer hedging; opportunity: sell short-dated premium against defined protection to collect decay while monitoring MP pins.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium reads bullish: calls account for ~65% of dollar flow and dominate open interest, while large front‑day put prints show hallmarks of hedges/pinning (high volume vs OI, same‑day expiries) and likely represent short/sell side risk management; weighting = volume*OI influence (calls > puts) -> overall bullish.
Directional prints: 22.7 call 257.5 OTM 2026-04-24 — Massive front‑month call buy/aggressive execution; clear directional call demand (bullish). 22.8 put 255 OTM 2026-04-24 — Very large same‑day put trades with high volume vs OI—characteristics of hedges or pinning (likely sell side), not long directional puts. 21.8 call 260 OTM 2026-04-27 — Significant multi‑day call flow supporting upside exposure; reinforces bullish read.
Unusual: 22.8 put 257.5 ITM 2026-04-24 — Extreme vol/OI (52x) and same‑day expiry—reads as aggressive hedge or liquidity sweep (sell side). 22.8 put 255 OTM 2026-04-24 — Huge intraday volume vs OI—consistent with short‑dated hedging/pin attempts rather than directional long puts. 22.7 call 257.5 OTM 2026-04-24 — Very large call volume and OI—primary source of bullish pressure.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Put credit spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell 2026-06-18 $235.00/$225.00 put spread Why now: Dealer-positive flow and call dominance near 245–248; sell downside premium but keep short put below the pin band to avoid being ITM if spot pins ~245–248. | Broad market selloff or IV repricing can push below short put and widen losses |
| Bull call spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-06-18 $265.00/$275.00 call spread Why now: Directional call demand and concentrated open interest at 260–265 suggest upside; defined debit spread buys convexity with defined max loss. | IV increase around earnings raises debit or makes roll expensive |
| Cash-secured put | Moderate-Weak | Sell 2026-06-18 $250.00 cash-secured put Why now: Pinning into max-pain band and call-skew supports collecting premium near 250 while owning stock if assigned. | Sharp market drop or IV spike leads to assignment at an undesired level |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.