thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $144.30EOD only
Max Pain
$134.00
Next expiry May 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.71
2.6% from close
Price Gap
-10.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
25
Low premium
P/C OI
1.71
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 12, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Continued high put volume with spot staying above $136 and net premium >$50M.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $135 or net premium turns negative.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.2% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $136 strike; $100 gamma flip; put/call volume ratio

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$75.4M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.47

P/C OI ratio: 1.72

USO sees heavy put buying concentrated in near-term 5/15/26 strikes at $136 and $143, with vol/OI ratios up to 40x. Overall net premium remains positive at +$75M, driven by large OTM call premiums. GEX is positive ($38.1M), indicating dealer gamma hedging that may pin price. Put/call OI ratio is elevated at 1.71, suggesting bearish positioning, but flow is mixed due to call side activity. VIX at 17.9 supports elevated volatility. Key level: $136 put wall.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-05-15 $136.00 Put
Vol: 12,878
OI: 322
Vol/OI: 40.0x
IV: 52.1%
Notional: ~$760K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Support test

#2
USO 2026-05-15 $143.00 Put
Vol: 2,984
OI: 257
Vol/OI: 11.6x
IV: 55.2%
Notional: ~$895K
Intent: Hedge

Read-through: Resistance

#3
USO 2026-05-20 $135.00 Put
Vol: 1,089
OI: 170
Vol/OI: 6.4x
IV: 61.2%
Notional: ~$244K
Intent: Protective

Read-through: Continued downside

#4
USO 2026-05-13 $141.00 Put
Vol: 1,561
OI: 248
Vol/OI: 6.3x
IV: 11.1%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Cover
Dual read: Expiry

Read-through: Low value

#5
USO 2026-05-15 $75.00 Call
Vol: 602
OI: 112
Vol/OI: 5.4x
IV: 367.6%
Notional: ~$4.0M
Intent: Hedge
Dual read: Vol play

Read-through: Deep ITM

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal; only $75 call (5.4x, closing).

Put additions: Aggressive at $136 (40x), $143 (11.6x), $135 (6.4x).

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes; GEX +$38.1M, DEX +42.1M consistent with put buying.

OI clusters: Put OI dense at $132, $136, $141, $143. Call OI light.

Hedging evidence: Put accumulation suggests hedging/bearish bets. No collars.

Max pain context: Spot above MP, MP likely lower. GEX positive supports pin.

Signal vs Noise

~Aggressive put buying signal.
~GEX/DEX consistent with flow.
~Deep ITM call likely noise.
~VIX moderate noise.

Key Conclusions

🐻Aggressive put buying signals bearish bias.
⚠️High put OI ratio & spot above MP risk reversal.
📊GEX positive may pin spot near current levels.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.