thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $128.47EOD only
Max Pain
$126.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.22
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-2.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
26
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.58
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Neutral tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral-to-Bullish
Confirmation: Sustained call premium accumulation at $111-$135 and net premium staying >+$10M while spot holds above $126 (MP). Continued dealer positive GEX (>$20M) and OI build at $130-$135 would confirm.
Invalidation: Net premium flips negative or large fresh put buying >$5M driving P/C volume ratio >>1.5 and spot slips below $125 with increasing put OI at $120-$121.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 2.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $111 call premium flow (is the $6.29M roll/add sustained); Volume into 4/15 ITM puts at $129-$133 and whether dealers short-gamma push toward $126 MP

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$14.8M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.06 — slight put-volume tilt intraday (near-neutral)

P/C OI ratio: 1.58 — material put-heavy positioning (structural put protection)

Flow is mixed but leans bullish near-term: dealers show positive GEX (+$28.1M) and net premium is positive +$14.8M driven by concentrated call buying at $111 and call OI clusters at $130/$135. At the same time there is significant put OI (75/80/110 and heavy short-dated put activity into 4/15 strikes $125-$133) which represents both structural hedges and near-term expiration pin activity — overall suggests pinning around $126-$130 with asymmetric protection below.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-04-15 $125 Put
Vol: 3,363
OI: 638
Vol/OI: 5.3x
IV: 75.7%
Notional: ~$672,600
Intent: Short-dated protective/expiration put buying (hedge or directional protection into 4/15)
Dual read: Bought puts (defensive bearish protection) or dealers opening delta-hedged short positions vs buys (market-maker activity).

Read-through: Large short-dated put flow clustered below spot increases downside protection demand into 4/15; supports dealer pinning pressure toward MP near $126 and flags skewed tail-hedging.

#2
USO 2026-04-15 $132 Put (ITM)
Vol: 1,804
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 17.2x
IV: 87.5%
Notional: ~$1,154,560
Intent: Aggressive short-dated directional/hedge — buyers stepping into ITM puts ahead of expiry
Dual read: Protective puts (hedge) or a directional bearish bet expecting a slide into expiry.

Read-through: High vol/OI ratio on ITM puts is a clear short-dated protective/close-to-expiry directional signal; if sustained, it could force dealer gamma hedging that compresses moves toward the MP band.

#3
USO 2026-04-15 $129 Put (ITM)
Vol: 1,439
OI: 119
Vol/OI: 12.1x
IV: 78.0%
Notional: ~$597,285
Intent: Expiration hedging / directional protection into 4/15
Dual read: Bought puts for protection or short sellers layering protection; alternatively part of a conversion/box is less likely given size.

Read-through: Reinforces the short-dated put cluster at and just below spot — increases probability of pinning and dealer-hedge flows near $126-$130.

#4
USO 2026-04-15 $133 Put (ITM)
Vol: 812
OI: 109
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 83.6%
Notional: ~$540,792
Intent: Same-day/expiry protective activity; consolidation of ITM put buying across $129-$133 strikes
Dual read: Protective vs speculative bearish play.

Read-through: Part of a concentrated short-dated put sweep — increases the chance of pinning and forces dealer gamma actions if price approaches these strikes into expiry.

#5
USO 2026-04-15 $136 Call
Vol: 1,615
OI: 175
Vol/OI: 9.2x
IV: 82.6%
Notional: ~$205,205
Intent: Short-dated call accumulation / directional upside or call spreads versus put buys
Dual read: Fresh bullish call buying or dealers selling calls (overwriting); could be paired with put buys as a collar.

Read-through: Offsets some put pressure — suggests market participants are hedging both tails into expiry; supports the 'mixed flow' regime but keeps upside open toward $135-$140.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $111 (large premium inflow ~$6.29M net), and call OI concentration at $130/$135 (12,654 OI at $130; 15,560 OI at $135). Short-dated call activity also visible at $136-$140.

Put additions: Heavy structural put OI at low strikes ($75, $80, $67, $68) and notable put concentration around $110 (23,984 OI). Short-dated put buying at $125-$133 into 4/15 indicates near-term protection demand.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX +$28.1M with dealer DEX +40.9M shares aligns with pinning behavior; near-term GEX concentrations at $130 (+$6.1M) and $135 (+$4.5M) support spot gravitation to those levels.

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters: puts concentrated at $75 (45,146 OI) and $80 (38,686 OI) forming a structural floor; calls concentrated at $200 (18,912 OI), $135 (15,560 OI), $120 (15,557 OI) — these create localized walls/pins around $120-$135.

Hedging evidence: Yes — evidence of large-scale hedging: structural long-dated puts (put floor $67-$110) and short-dated protective puts into 4/15. Limited signs of widespread collar activity but some paired short-dated calls/puts indicate localized collars.

Max pain context: Max pain near-term is $126 (4/15) with trend of MP falling across expirations; combined with short-dated put activity this increases pin probability at $126-$130 over the next sessions.

Signal vs Noise

~Large long-dated structural put OI at $75/$80/$67 is structural protection (not immediate directional flow).
~Some short-dated flows are likely expiration hedges/rolls into 4/15 rather than new directional commitments — especially high vol/OI ratios on ITM 4/15 puts.
~Very small or deeply OTM trades (e.g., $210 calls) are likely speculative/tail positioning or vol plays, not primary directional signals.
~Dealer gamma hedging and market-maker flows can amplify short-dated moves — prints in the 4/15 chain may reflect MM inventory management rather than fresh directional conviction.

Key Conclusions

📌Pin range forming between $126 (4/15 MP) and $130 (GEX concentration +$6.1M) — dealers are positioned to nudge spot into that band.
🔒Short-dated protective put buying at $125-$133 (4/15) signals elevated near-term downside hedging — watch dealer gamma as expiry approaches.
🔼Net premium +$14.8M and large $111 call premium ($6.29M) bias flow mildly bullish — if call accumulation continues, upside toward $135-$140 becomes more probable.
🛡️Structural put floor at $67-$110 plus big OI at $75/$80 provides a lower tail insurance — heavy put OI is long-term institutional protection, not immediate crash hedges.
⚖️Overall flow is mixed: short-dated puts point to protective activity and pinning, while concentrated call premium (and positive GEX) keeps bias slightly bullish above MP.

Read the Flow analysis for USO for 2026-04-13. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.