thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $142.54EOD only
Max Pain
$142.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.83
4.1% from close
Price Gap
-0.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
8
Low premium
P/C OI
1.72
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Continued aggressive put buying or spot break below $100 support.
Invalidation: Sustained call buying or spot rally above $145 resistance.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: USO 2026-05-22 $138 Put; USO 2026-05-22 $133 Put

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$25.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 2.32

P/C OI ratio: 1.72

Heavy put premium flow and negative net premium (-$1.5M) signal strong bearish positioning. Put/Call ratio 2.8:1. Near-dated puts dominate despite high vol, suggesting downside protection or aggressive bearish bets. Low gamma supports further downside.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-05-22 $143.00 Call
Vol: 2,403
OI: 155
Vol/OI: 15.5x
IV: 78.3%
Notional: ~$658K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Covering shorts

Read-through: Expects near-term jump

#2
USO 2026-05-22 $133.00 Put
Vol: 11,169
OI: 730
Vol/OI: 15.3x
IV: 73.1%
Notional: ~$447K
Intent: Bearish speculation
Dual read: Hedging long oil

Read-through: Anticipates sharp decline

#3
USO 2026-06-26 $130.00 Put
Vol: 1,605
OI: 205
Vol/OI: 7.8x
IV: 66.0%
Notional: ~$1.1M
Intent: Bearish hedge
Dual read: Institutional protection

Read-through: Medium-term bearish view

#4
USO 2026-05-29 $123.00 Put
Vol: 991
OI: 149
Vol/OI: 6.7x
IV: 80.9%
Notional: ~$104K
Intent: Speculative put
Dual read: Lottery ticket

Read-through: High-risk bearish bet

#5
USO 2026-05-27 $150.00 Put
Vol: 1,276
OI: 217
Vol/OI: 5.9x
IV: 76.3%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: Bearish outright
Dual read: Tail risk hedge

Read-through: Expects price below 150

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Light call buying at 142-143, dwarfed by puts

Put additions: Heavy put accumulation at 133, 138, 150, 120 strikes; 138 put 11k vol

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$1.9M) vs positive DEX (+37M) — inconsistent outright but typical near max pain

OI clusters: Large put OI at 138 and 130 strikes, concentrations below spot

Hedging evidence: Put buying likely hedging long exposure; 138 put aggressive downside protection

Max pain context: Spot at max pain; pin action expected near current levels

Signal vs Noise

~Heavy put volume at 138 is real hedging signal
~Call volume at 142 is noise (low OI)
~Put/call volume ratio 2.3 confirms bearish flow

Key Conclusions

🐻Bearish flow dominates with 2.3:1 put/call volume ratio and large put prints
⚠️Positive DEX suggests institutional long exposure hedged via puts
🔒Spot at max pain supports pin action, but negative gamma adds risk
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.