thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $125.84EOD only
Max Pain
$110.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.98
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-15.84
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
60
High premium
P/C OI
1.65
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Large same-day call prints and improved equity breadth
Invalidation: Sustained negative GEX, concentrated put OI below spot and spot reversion to model price
Confidence:
4 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; -1 spot 5.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: monitor follow-through in large call strikes; watch put OI and vol lift near MP; track price movement toward/away from model price

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$86.0M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.31

P/C OI ratio: 1.61

Spot sits above model with net negative GEX and heavy intraday call activity. Equity breadth improved intraday (advancers>decliners). Put open interest is concentrated below spot, creating downside pin risk. Flow ambiguous—short‑gamma downside risk versus directional bullish prints; monitor whether calls persist or puts/price reclaim model.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-04-17 $114.00 Call
Vol: 7,048
OI: 188
Vol/OI: 37.5x
IV: 39.6%
Notional: ~$1.4M
Intent: short-dated bullish buy
Dual read: roll/hedge vs directional

Read-through: short-gamma stress

#2
USO 2026-04-17 $116.00 Call
Vol: 10,223
OI: 439
Vol/OI: 23.3x
IV: 17.8%
Notional: ~$399K
Intent: speculative call buy
Dual read: income trade vs buy

Read-through: upside chase

#3
USO 2026-04-24 $128.00 Call
Vol: 5,092
OI: 294
Vol/OI: 17.3x
IV: 95.3%
Notional: ~$1.2M
Intent: tail-risk upside buy
Dual read: lottery vs hedge

Read-through: large OTM optimism

#4
USO 2026-04-24 $115.00 Call
Vol: 2,668
OI: 154
Vol/OI: 17.3x
IV: 81.6%
Notional: ~$1.6M
Intent: buy for early-week upside
Dual read: vol play vs hedge

Read-through: demand into weeklies

#5
USO 2026-04-24 $123.00 Call
Vol: 1,998
OI: 125
Vol/OI: 16.0x
IV: 87.0%
Notional: ~$653K
Intent: speculative upside buy
Dual read: reposition vs hedge

Read-through: bullish skew

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Large near-term call flows at 114–128–125 strikes (Apr17–Apr24–Apr22), plus a July tail at 265.

Put additions: Heavy same-day puts at 112–114 with high volume/oi; overall put OI skewed ~13.8% below spot.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX negative (~-$55.7M) while DEX net buys +40.6M shares — mixed signals and gamma/flow mismatch.

OI clusters: OI clusters: puts concentrated ~27k OI ~13.8% below spot; call clusters around 114–125.

Hedging evidence: Possible protective puts and short-dated collar activity noted; high call vol/oi could reflect selling or structured buys — treat as a hypothesis and seek timestamps and trade-side info before attributing cause.

Max pain context: Spot ~5.5% above MP; short-dated expiries may exert pinning pressure toward lower strikes, but conflicting flow makes outcome uncertain.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: heavy same-day put prints at 112–114 (likely hedging).
~Signal: concentrated call blocks around 114–125 with elevated vol/oi (meaningful market structure).
~Noise: large longer-dated IVy calls with low OI relative volume likely directional single-party bets.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Net institutional stance leans cautious but uncertain due to conflicting GEX/DEX and sizable call clusters; monitor for resolution.
📌Short-dated expiries (112–125) are highest impact — watch for pinning and fast GEX shifts.

Read the Flow analysis for USO for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.