thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $144.27EOD only
Max Pain
$141.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.55
5.2% from close
Price Gap
-3.27
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
7
Low premium
P/C OI
1.68
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Price holds near current MP around $144; call and put selling remains balanced.
Invalidation: Sustained move above $147 or below $138 with elevated volume; significant change in put/call ratio.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: $144 MP; $147 resistance; $138 support

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$2.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.57

P/C OI ratio: 1.68

Mixed flow with elevated put volume ratio (1.57) and net positive premium. Gamma pinning at $144 MP. Unusual put activity at $142 and $138 suggests downside hedging, while call spreads at $146-$148 show upside cap. High VIX (17.4) and high volatility regime.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-05-20 $147.00 Call
Vol: 988
OI: 128
Vol/OI: 7.7x
IV: 47.0%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Speculative long lottery call

Read-through: Minor upside bet

#2
USO 2026-05-20 $142.00 Put
Vol: 4,185
OI: 561
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 26.9%
Notional: ~$59K
Intent: Bearish 0DTE put
Dual read: Hedge for long stock

Read-through: Expects immediate drop

#3
USO 2027-01-15 $200.00 Put
Vol: 1,024
OI: 136
Vol/OI: 7.5x
IV: 53.7%
Notional: ~$6.6M
Intent: Long-term bearish put hedge

Read-through: Expects decline by Jan 2027

#4
USO 2026-06-05 $200.00 Call
Vol: 4,251
OI: 598
Vol/OI: 7.1x
IV: 87.7%
Notional: ~$191K
Intent: Deep OTM call lottery

Read-through: Expects sharp oil spike

#5
USO 2026-05-29 $230.00 Call
Vol: 601
OI: 101
Vol/OI: 6.0x
IV: 170.1%
Notional: ~$3K
Intent: Extreme OTM call
Dual read: Closing trade possible

Read-through: Expects huge move

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Bullish call sweep at $147, $146, $148 (May 20) and $200 (June 5) with high vol/oi.

Put additions: Bearish put activity at $142 (May 20), $138 (May 22), and long-dated $200 (Jan 2027).

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX ($3.3M) and DEX (+37.6M) consistent with pinning near max pain.

OI clusters: Notable OI at $142 put (561), $138 put (476), $146 call (270) – pinning zone $140-$150.

Hedging evidence: Far-dated $200 put (IV 53.7%) tail hedge; near-term puts for downside protection.

Max pain context: Spot at max pain; confidence +1; MP path implies pinning expectation.

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi ratios (4.4-7.7) on unusual prints signal real flow.
~Low OI on most strikes suggests speculative rather than institutional hedging.
~GEX/DEX alignment and proximity to MP reinforce signal validity.

Key Conclusions

📊Institutions adding both calls and puts; net premium positive but put/call OI ratio >1.6 indicates bearish skew.
⚠️Spot pinned near max pain with positive gamma; watch for breakout if GEX flips.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.