thetaOwl

USO

United States Oil FundClose $121.32EOD only
Max Pain
$125.00
Next expiry Apr 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.58
6.2% from close
Price Gap
+3.68
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.60
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects USO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 20, 2026 close
USO Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Large call prints (near and long-dated), GEX +22.2M, bullish flow and pinning gamma regime
Invalidation: Spot moves down toward MPs or accelerated put buying reverses pinning and erodes positive GEX
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 20

Watch next session: Spot vs MP movement; Persistence of put buying/IV rise; GEX/delta-adjusting flow shifts

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$88.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.69

P/C OI ratio: 1.52

Options flow is net bullish: concentrated call interest and +22M GEX support pinning; downside risk if spot collapses toward MP or puts continue to spike.

Notable Prints

#1
USO 2026-12-18 $275.00 Call
Vol: 1,551
OI: 104
Vol/OI: 14.9x
IV: 62.5%
Notional: ~$380K
Intent: directional long-term call buy or call spread leg
Dual read: long-term bullish vs. calendar/roll trade

Read-through: bullish view on multi-month crude upside or institutional position sizing

#2
USO 2026-04-22 $122.00 Put
Vol: 6,030
OI: 411
Vol/OI: 14.7x
IV: 101.0%
Notional: ~$856K
Intent: near‑term protective hedging or aggressive short‑covering squeeze
Dual read: hedge vs. speculative downside bet

Read-through: heavy short‑dated put demand, raises near-term downside risk and pinning pressure

#3
USO 2026-04-22 $127.00 Call
Vol: 17,349
OI: 1,536
Vol/OI: 11.3x
IV: 99.3%
Notional: ~$7.8M
Intent: near‑term call buying to push/fade pin or gamma-driven dealer hedging
Dual read: speculative upside bet vs. tactical liquidity/flow trade

Read-through: large same‑day call flow implies strong dealer delta exposure and potential upward short-term pressure

#4
USO 2026-05-01 $125.00 Put
Vol: 3,322
OI: 506
Vol/OI: 6.6x
IV: 100.2%
Notional: ~$2.5M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
USO 2026-04-22 $123.00 Put
Vol: 1,380
OI: 214
Vol/OI: 6.5x
IV: 102.3%
Notional: ~$228K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Probable long-dated and mid-term call buys (e.g., 275 Dec/Jan, 225/270 Jul) suggesting directional/carry exposure but could also be prop/spec or dispersion/gamma trades; request dealer flow or client IDs to disambiguate.

Put additions: Concentrated short-dated put buys (e.g., 122–125 Apr/May) and heavy put OI near ~30% below spot likely indicate downside protection or short-gamma positioning, though speculative selling or structured-product hedges are alternatives; ask for trade tickets or counterparty info.

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX and DEX inflows are consistent with bullish flow, but consistency is circumstantial — verify with time-decay and intraday price response.

OI clusters: Notable OI cluster well below spot (puts) and longer-dated call clusters at higher strikes; treat as influential but not determinative without client-level data.

Hedging evidence: Short-dated put volume and elevated IV are suggestive of hedging/collar activity, but could reflect directional bets or volatility trades; confirm with dealer flow or position dumps.

Max pain context: Spot sits above measured MP; gamma pinning toward near-term strikes is plausible but not certain — validate by tracking OI changes, theta decay, and price reaction into expiries.

Signal vs Noise

~High-IV short-dated put prints are plausible hedges but may be speculative—validate with time-decay and trade metadata.
~Long-dated call activity likely signals institutional bullishness but could be carry/gamma/dispersion trades—seek counterparty IDs.
~Large OI cluster below spot is structurally relevant for pinning/gamma dynamics but its impact is conditional; monitor OI shifts and intraday price response.

Key Conclusions

📌Probable institutional bullish tilt, with short-dated protective puts creating plausible pinning risk near key strikes; confirm via dealer/client flow and OI changes.
⚠️Gamma flip and heavy put OI below spot raise plausible short-term downside squeeze/pin vulnerability; validate with time-decay, price reaction, and open-interest movement.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.