thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $445.27EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$15.50
3.5% from close
Price Gap
-45.27
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
86
High premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call volume and price above mean strike
Invalidation: Break below $445 support with heavy put OI increase
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor put activity at $442.5 and $445 strikes

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$446.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.48

P/C OI ratio: 0.77

Bullish flow dominates with sustained call volume and net premium positive. Gamma pinning and spot above MP reinforce upside bias.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA 2026-05-15 $442.50 Put
Vol: 48,826
OI: 1,216
Vol/OI: 40.1x
IV: 41.2%
Notional: ~$24.1M
Intent: Bearish bet

Read-through: Expect decline to 442.50

#2
TSLA 2026-05-22 $445.00 Put
Vol: 14,758
OI: 461
Vol/OI: 32.0x
IV: 45.2%
Notional: ~$19.7M
Intent: Bearish spread

Read-through: Hedge for next week

#3
TSLA 2026-05-15 $465.00 Put
Vol: 7,672
OI: 306
Vol/OI: 25.1x
IV: 51.2%
Notional: ~$16.9M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
TSLA 2026-05-15 $445.00 Put
Vol: 66,844
OI: 2,795
Vol/OI: 23.9x
IV: 41.6%
Notional: ~$42.1M
Intent: Large put buying
Dual read: Profit taking?

Read-through: Key support at 445

#5
TSLA 2026-05-15 $447.50 Put
Vol: 25,822
OI: 1,181
Vol/OI: 21.9x
IV: 41.8%
Notional: ~$20.3M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls added at lower strikes (445C weekly) vol/OI 18x.

Put additions: Aggressive OTM put additions at 442.5-452.5 Puts, vol/OI 20-40x.

GEX/DEX consistency: Aligned: +$315M GEX, +147M DEX, bullish flow.

OI clusters: OI concentration at 445 Put (2795), 442.5 Put (1216), 445 Call (1539).

Hedging evidence: Heavy new put buying (vol/OI 20-40x) indicates tail hedging.

Max pain context: Spot above MP, pinning near $445-450.

Signal vs Noise

~Sustained OTM put buying with 20-40x vol/OI is real institutional hedging, not noise.
~Net call premium >$446M and positive GEX/DEX confirm bullish bias.

Key Conclusions

🛡️Massive OTM put buying (442.5-452.5) with 20-40x vol/OI indicates institutional downside hedging.
📈Net premium +$446M, call flow bullish, GEX/DEX positive – smart money positioning for upside.
🎯Spot above max pain (~$445); pinning likely but heavy puts may cap rallies.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.