thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $435.79EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.82
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasMixed (slight bearish tilt)
Confirmation: Net premium remains negative or grows more negative with follow-through put buying at/above $355 and dealer gamma stays concentrated at spot ($352.50) while price fails to clear $360
Invalidation: Sustained fresh long-call premium (net premium flips >+$30M) and P/C volume ratio drops below 0.6 with price trading and holding >$360
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +1 pinning GEX concentration; -1 net premium negative (-$26.2M); +0.5 spot ~0.7% from MP; +0.0 other

Watch next session: Intraday concentration and volume at $352.50/$350 strikes (expiries and rolls); New put activity exp 2026-04-15 around $357.50-$360 (would strengthen bearish/hedge read)

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$26.2M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.79 — modest call skew in volume (calls more active but not extreme)

P/C OI ratio: 0.69 — OI shows a moderate call lean (positioning has more calls than puts)

Volume today is dominated by large, expiry-day prints centered at the $350-$355 area that look like pinning/rolls and short-term hedges. Aggregate premium is net negative (puts paid more than calls), creating a mild bearish tilt, even as dealer GEX (+$84.6M) and near-term GEX concentrations are pinning price around $352.50.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA 2026-04-13 $350.00 Put
Vol: 203,013
OI: 1,557
Vol/OI: 130.4x
IV: 6.6%
Notional: ~$2.0M (very low premium per contract; actually high notional in directional gamma terms due to quantity and expiry-day effect)
Intent: Expiration-day hedging / pinning and large block roll/close activity
Dual read: Could be aggressive directional put buying (bearish) OR closing/rolling of existing short puts (neutral to defensive); IV is extremely compressed (6.6%) suggesting expiratory closing/market structure trades

Read-through: High significance for intraday pin pressure to $350 — this is a classic expiry flow that forces dealer hedging near $350 and increases short-term downside sensitivity.

#2
TSLA 2026-04-13 $352.50 Call
Vol: 199,956
OI: 2,269
Vol/OI: 88.1x
IV: 2.1%
Notional: ~$8.8M (many contracts at low premium; large expiratory gamma impact)
Intent: Expiration-day positioning (pinning) and short-covering/closing of call positions
Dual read: Aggressive call buys (bullish) OR closing of short calls / hedging by dealers (neutral); the low IV suggests closing/expiry-driven flow

Read-through: Works with the $350 put print to create heavy expiratory gamma around $350-$352.50 — dealers will be managing delta heavily in this range, increasing short-term pinning risk.

#3
TSLA 2026-04-13 $352.50 Put
Vol: 142,781
OI: 1,236
Vol/OI: 115.5x
IV: 2.5%
Notional: ~$6.9M (expiry-day notional concentrated at-the-money)
Intent: Expiration-day hedge/roll/close (protective activity or assignment-related adjustments)
Dual read: Bought puts (bearish hedge) OR sellers closing short puts (reduces downside exposure); atypically low IV indicates expiry mechanics rather than fresh directional conviction

Read-through: Adds to the expiry pin thesis — concentrated activity both sides of the market around $352.50 will keep gamma and hedging flows localized and can amplify intraday moves.

#4
TSLA 2026-04-15 $357.50 Put
Vol: 25,553
OI: 193
Vol/OI: 132.4x
IV: 33.9%
Notional: ~$9.2M (material — multi-day protection into 4/15)
Intent: Directional put buying / short-dated protective hedges into the next expiry
Dual read: Likely bought protection (bearish/defensive) but could be part of downside spread structures

Read-through: This print is a true back-week protective bet — if follow-through put flow appears at $357.50-$360, that would validate a short-term defensive/incremental bearish posture among institutions.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Significant premium flow and OI concentrated at $340-$355 (notably $340 call net premium $106.4M, $350 call $118.4M) — institutions are active in the 340–355 call band, consistent with roll/covered-call strategies or directional call accumulation.

Put additions: Material paid put activity centered at $360 (net premium negative at that strike), and protective activity visible at $357.50 (4/15) and concentrated expiry-day put buying at $350-$352.50. Longer-dated put OI clusters exist at $300 and $200 (structural floor interest).

GEX/DEX consistency: Largely consistent — positive Total GEX ($84.6M) and concentrated near-term GEX at $352.50 (+$45.1M) support pinning behavior even while net premium is negative. Dealers are long gamma near spot which encourages price pinning.

OI clusters: Near-term OI clusters: calls concentrated at $350 (6,104), $360 (5,815), $355 (5,299), $347.50 (4,396). Put clusters: $340 (4,557), $335 (3,679), $337.50 (3,755), $280 (3,976), plus deep put interest at $300 (19,179) and $210 (22,588). The near-term cluster map creates a price magnet in the $340-$355 band and structural support from deep puts between $200-$300.

Hedging evidence: Yes — strong evidence of short-term hedging (expiration-day closing/rolling and protective puts into 4/15 at $357.50-$360). Collars are possible given call activity in the 340–355 band combined with paid puts at 355–360, but explicit collar legs are not isolated in the print list.

Max pain context: Max pain pins at $350 for immediate expiries and $357.50 by 4/17. With spot at $352.42 and GEX concentrated at $352.50, dealers and institutional flow are likely to keep price gravitating toward $350-$352.50 in the short run.

Signal vs Noise

~Large 2026-04-13 expiry prints (calls and puts at $350, $352.50, $355, $357.50) are primarily expiry/pinning flows and closing/rolling activity — interpret cautiously as they often reflect gamma/assignment mechanics rather than fresh directional conviction.
~Very low IV on many 4/13 prints (e.g., $352.50 call IV 2.1%, $350 put IV 6.6%) suggests expiration compression/closeouts, not new directional risk-taking.
~High OI walls at $400-$500 are structural long-term positions (call sellers/holders) and should not be read as immediate upside pressure inside the next 2–7 day EM bounds.
~Deep put OI (e.g., $300 and $210) likely reflects longer-term hedging or synthetic financing, not near-term directional bets.

Key Conclusions

📌Expiry pinning is dominant — concentrated GEX at $352.50 (+$45.1M) plus massive 4/13 expiries will anchor intraday action around $350–$352.50.
⚠️Net premium is negative (-$26.2M) and notable paid protection into 4/15 at $357.50 indicates a mild institutional defensive tilt.
🛡️Evidence of real short-dated protection: $357.50 4/15 put block is meaningful and would ramp hedging flows if followed by more put buying.
🧭Key support sits at the MP zone: $350 and $347.50 (dealer hedging and concentrated put OI); watch failure below $343.70 EM guardrail for acceleration lower.
🔁Most big prints today look like expiry/roll activity (low IV across 4/13 strikes) — avoid over-interpreting single-sided expiry volumes as directional until follow-through shows in back-week flow.
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This flow reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
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