thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $404.11EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 20, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.10
2.0% from close
Price Gap
+13.39
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
30
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 19, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Holds above $422.5 with call-skewed volume.
Invalidation: Break below $422.5 with sustained put volume.
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: $422.5 put wall; $427.5 resistance

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$3.0M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.64

P/C OI ratio: 0.76

Bullish flow with 0.64 put/call vol ratio, +$3M net premium, pinning gamma. Large put volume at $425/$422.5 (expiring today) suggests hedging, not reversal. Spot likely pinned $425-430.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA 2026-05-22 $160.00 Put
Vol: 26,911
OI: 503
Vol/OI: 53.5x
IV: 187.5%
Notional: ~$27K
Intent: Bearish hedge or speculation
Dual read: Possible short put if sold

Read-through: Deep OTM puts with extreme IV signal fear of large drop

#2
TSLA 2026-05-18 $425.00 Call
Vol: 33,426
OI: 805
Vol/OI: 41.5x
IV: 29.5%
Notional: ~$12.9M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
TSLA 2026-05-15 $422.50 Put
Vol: 134,302
OI: 3,271
Vol/OI: 41.1x
IV: 6.3%
Notional: ~$8.1M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
TSLA 2026-05-18 $422.50 Call
Vol: 9,449
OI: 240
Vol/OI: 39.4x
IV: 29.1%
Notional: ~$4.7M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
TSLA 2026-05-20 $427.50 Call
Vol: 4,093
OI: 112
Vol/OI: 36.5x
IV: 39.5%
Notional: ~$2.5M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive call buying at 427.5 and 425 for 5/15-5/18; OI building.

Put additions: Large puts at 422.5-427.5 near-the-money and far OTM 160/200 (hedging).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$150M, DEX +141M shares, both bullish aligned with flow.

OI clusters: Highest OI at 425 and 427.5; ~21k puts below spot.

Hedging evidence: Far OTM puts (160,200) and near-the-money puts indicate downside protection/collars.

Max pain context: Spot above max pain; positive gamma supports pinning near 427.5.

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi on 427.5 calls and 425/427.5 puts – real new positions.
~Far OTM puts (160,200) likely institutional hedging, not noise.
~Net premium +$3M and bullish regime signal genuine institutional bullish bias.

Key Conclusions

📈Bullish call sweep at 427.5 (219k vol) signals institutional upside conviction.
🛡️Hedging evident: far OTM puts (160,200) and near-the-money puts suggest downside protection.
⚖️Spot above max pain with positive gamma; potential pinning near 427.5.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.