thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $388.90EOD only
Max Pain
$365.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.62
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-23.90
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Large same-day call and put prints concentrated near 400–408 with +$695.6M GEX, pinning regime, DEX showing +145M shares; net premium and GEX alignment support upside
Invalidation: Sustained drop toward/through heavy put concentration (~395–405) or VIX surge >20 with follow‑through selling that flips gamma negative
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Price holds above 395–405 consolidation; VIX >20 or rising sharply; New large put prints or heavy put buying

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$1.1B bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.51

P/C OI ratio: 0.72

Bullish pinning flow: strong positive GEX and large option prints concentrated at ~400–408 drive pinning; upside likely if price holds, but a sharp selloff through the put cluster or elevated VIX would invalidate.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA 2026-04-17 $402.50 Put
Vol: 106,035
OI: 143
Vol/OI: 741.5x
IV: 7.8%
Notional: ~$18.6M
Intent: aggressive short-dated put buying (protection/speculative)
Dual read: could be block sell-to-open from liquidity provider

Read-through: adds downside pinning risk ~402.5

#2
TSLA 2026-04-17 $397.50 Put
Vol: 78,952
OI: 384
Vol/OI: 205.6x
IV: 8.0%
Notional: ~$158K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
TSLA 2026-04-20 $400.00 Put
Vol: 45,769
OI: 285
Vol/OI: 160.6x
IV: 28.4%
Notional: ~$20.2M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
TSLA 2026-04-17 $405.00 Put
Vol: 125,645
OI: 1,043
Vol/OI: 120.5x
IV: 20.9%
Notional: ~$55.5M
Intent: protective hedges or directional put buying
Dual read: could be large dealer hedge/sell

Read-through: reinforces short-term put interest near 405

#5
TSLA 2026-04-17 $407.50 Call
Vol: 242,917
OI: 3,328
Vol/OI: 73.0x
IV: 14.1%
Notional: ~$243K
Intent: bullish call accumulation or sideways selling into size
Dual read: could be sell-to-open (income)

Read-through: call flow offsets puts, supports pinning between 402–408

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call buys and OI at 402.5–407.5 expiring 4/17; large rollups into short-dated calls indicating buy interest but not unambiguous directional conviction.

Put additions: Heavy short-dated put prints and OI 395–410 (notably 400,402.5,405,410) consistent with protective hedging or mixed bearish exposure alongside call activity.

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX (+695.6M) and net DEX share activity align with buy-side flow that can create dealer short-gamma; this increases pinning potential but does not guarantee it.

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters: calls 402.5/407.5 (4/17) and puts clustered 400–410 (4/17–4/20).

Hedging evidence: Coexistence of call blocks and short-dated puts points to a blend of directional call buying and protective structures (collars/puts); dealer delta-hedging of either can produce similar market pressure.

Max pain context: Gamma pinning is a possible regime given positioning and dealer hedging incentives, but outcome is conditional on spot moves and trade flow near expiry.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: large call OI at 402.5–407.5 implies dealer short-gamma risk if spot approaches strikes.
~Signal: GEX/DEX uplift supports buy-side pressure but is one input, not definitive proof of pinning.
~Noise: small-print/high-price/low-OI trades likely routing or retail churn and shouldn’t be overweighted.

Key Conclusions

📌Conditional pinning risk—dealer short-gamma from concentrated OI could stabilize spot near strikes if buy flow persists.
🛡️Protective put buildup signals downside hedging; volatility/skew may spike if spot moves into put clusters.
⚖️Flow is mixed: directional call buys coexist with protective structures, so monitor delta-hedging flows rather than assuming one-sided exposure.

Read the Flow analysis for TSLA for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.