thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $415.88EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 3, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.88
2.9% from close
Price Gap
+19.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
36
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 1, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 1, 2026 close
TSLA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call-side premium demand into the next session (net premium staying >$2B and call-heavy volume at 390 strikes) and price holding above $390 with intra-day bids.
Invalidation: A session where put premium overtakes call premium (net premium flips negative) or price closes below the 2d EM lower bound $378.70 with rising put volume toward $360-$355 strikes.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 large front-day C390 notional increases dealer hedging; -1 spot 8.9% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Follow-through call premium at the front expiry, specifically continued delta-weighted buying at the $390 strike; Whether price respects the 2d expected-move lower bound $378.70 1; a close below would weaken the bullish flow thesis

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$3.1B bullish (deterministic)

P/C volume ratio: 0.54

P/C OI ratio: 0.70

Flow is decisively call-leaning with material front-day concentration: in addition to broad call premium at $365




















































































































































$380 and the $390



strike, there is a very large same-day $390 call print (Vol=275,994, OI=4,005, Last=$2.03) that materially raises front-end call notional (~$56.0M) and forces incremental dealer delta hedging. Put volume remains present but not dominant. The C390 print increases short-term pinning and raises conviction that dealers will buy underlying into intraday upside, amplifying the bullish microstructure even though longer-dated max pain remains lower.

Notable Prints

#1
TSLA260415C00390000
Vol: 275,994
OI: 4,005
Vol/OI: 68.9x
IV: 11.9%
Notional: ~$56,036,682
Intent: Large short-dated directional call buying (institutional/spec) concentrated at $390
Dual read: Could be a combination of institutional opening buys or large retail aggregation; the size and price (Last=$2.03) strongly points to meaningful opening long call exposure that forces dealer delta hedging.

Read-through: Material: this single print (~$56.0M notional) substantially increases front-end hedging demand and strengthens the short-term bullish/pinning thesis.

#2
TSLA260415C00395000
Vol: 215,681
OI: 694
Vol/OI: 310.8x
IV: 8.0%
Notional: ~$431,362
Intent: Short-dated speculative/lottery call buys targeting $395
Dual read: Could be cheap spread leg for dealers, but the enormous volume vs tiny OI and Last=$0.02 indicates fresh opening long call flow.

Read-through: Supports upside gamma and dealer hedging; smaller notional than C390 but large in contracts.

#3
TSLA260415P00380000
Vol: 110,562
OI: 360
Vol/OI: 307.1x
IV: 23.8%
Notional: ~$110,562
Intent: Short-dated protective/lottery put buying or dealer delta rebalancing
Dual read: High volume at cheap puts may be retail protection; given dominant call activity, more likely isolated hedging/spec rather than coordinated directional shift.

Read-through: Adds two-way gamma churn but is small vs C390 notional.

#4
TSLA260415P00377500
Vol: 72,541
OI: 104
Vol/OI: 697.5x
IV: 28.1%
Notional: ~$72,541
Intent: Cheap short-dated put accumulation (lottery/mini-hedge) at $377.50
Dual read: Fresh opening buys by speculators likely; low notional limits structural impact.

Read-through: Raises local downside option interest but insufficient to counter large call hedging.

#5
TSLA260415C00392500
Vol: 191,570
OI: 930
Vol/OI: 206.0x
IV: 5.2%
Notional: ~$3,831,400
Intent: Front-day squeeze/pinning activity concentrated at $392.50
Dual read: Could include dealer flow, but volume and Last=$0.20 indicate significant opening call purchases.

Read-through: Further concentrates front-end gamma near spot and amplifies dealer hedging.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Meaningful front-end call accumulation concentrated at $390 (huge same-day notional), plus heavy call premium at $365 and $390 strikes across the front expiries; larger-dated structural call OI remains at $400 and $500, indicating layered upside exposure.

Put additions: Protective interest exists at short-dated $370 and $380 puts and multi-month put OI concentrated at $300 and $350, but these are small in premium versus the large $390 call notional.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters: big call walls at $400 and $500 (24k–30k OI) and put concentration around $210 and $300. Near-term OI density and GEX concentration around $387.50–$400.00 create a short-term magnet in the $390–$400 band.

Hedging evidence: Some defensive hedging exists — notable multi‑month put OI at $300 and $350 and short-dated protective buys near $370–$380 — but these are smaller in premium terms versus the front-end call flow, implying hedges are not the dominant driver today.

Max pain context: Max pain for near expirations sits lower ($360→$355) but the rising MP trend across expirations (MP rising $360 → $390) plus front-end call demand suggests institutions are positioning to skew realized pin higher than the immediate MP, reinforcing dealer pinning around $390–$400.

Signal vs Noise

~Very large same‑day (2026-04-15) volumes on tiny-credit / cheap options (Last $0.01–$0.20) are classic lottery/short-dated speculative buys — strong directional signal for dealer hedging but limited long-term conviction.
~Much of the activity is expiry-day churn (4/15 prints). Expect heavy market‑maker inventory flows and rolling; some prints are likely expiration closes/rolls rather than fresh directional institutional bets.
~Far-OTM tiny-premium puts/calls (e.g., $377.50/$380 with Last=$0.01) should be treated as high-frequency retail/spec flow — they move gamma but are low notional vs multi-month OI clusters and so are noisy for structural positioning.

Key Conclusions

🐂Short-term flow is bullish and concentrated at 390–400; dealers are long gamma and will likely buy stock into upside moves, creating a pin/magnet near $390–$400.
⚠️Large same-day cheap call prints amplify intraday pinning but are expiry-driven noise for multi-week positioning — monitor 2d EM lower bound $378.70 for invalidation.
🧭Key support cluster: $360.00 and $355.73 (deterministic supports); Resistance cluster: $400.00, $405.00 and $428.18 — these are the levels that matter within ±10% of spot.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.