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TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $86.75EOD only

Max Pain

$85.50

Next expiry Jun 22, 2026

Expected Move

±$0.49

0.6% from close

Price Gap

-1.25

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

High premium

P/C OI

0.74

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

9.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 18, 2026 close

TLT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because low IV and near-expiry gamma pinning create a ceiling on directional upside, but high confidence in pin holds if $85 support remains intact.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin near $86 supported by dealer gamma, positive flow, and net premium from call buying — all personas favor narrow range with bullish bias.

Where They Diverge

Theta sees low IV limiting premium collection and warns of VIX spike, while directional expects upside beyond $86 — flow notes gamma pinning could cap upside despite bullish flow.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-07-10 $86/$85.5 put spread for ~$0.25 credit

Key Risk

Break below $85 invalidates pin, flips dealer gamma to long, and triggers put hedging — downside accelerates to VWAP support near $83.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.