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TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $86.19EOD only
Max Pain
$85.50
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.46
0.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.69
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
41
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9/10 due to unanimous high confidence across personas (all 9/10), but one point deducted because the $0.00 price placeholder introduces uncertainty in exact spot location, and external macro (SPY/QQQ) could disrupt the pin despite strong internal signals.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three perspectives strongly support a bullish pin to $86, driven by dealer gamma positioning, positive flow, and low volatility environment, with defined risk range $85.5-$87.3.

Where They Diverge

No significant conflicts: directional bullish bias aligns with flow's institutional call buying and theta's confidence in the pin; all anticipate limited movement within the range.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 TLT iron condor: sell $85.00/$83.00 puts and sell $88.00/$90.00 calls, collecting approximately $0.80 credit, with max loss $1.20 per spread.

Key Risk

Break above $87.3 or below $85.5 flips dealer gamma and invalidates the pin, accelerating to $88.5+ or $83.5- respectively, with SPY/QQQ as external catalysts.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.