thetaOwl
HomeOptionsTLTReports

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.77EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.49
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.77
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9 not 10 because the $86.95 upside target from directional conflicts with theta's short premium at $86 cap, but all agree on gamma pinning near $85 with low vol regime — conviction high but not perfect.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $85-86 supported by GEX pinning, flow accumulation, and low vol — all personas reinforce limited downside and gradual upside toward $86-87.

Where They Diverge

Theta's iron condor caps upside at $86 while directional expects $86.95 — a structural conflict on target. However, both agree on pinning regime near $85.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-24 $84.50/$86.00 iron condor for credit — profits from pinning, defined risk, high probability.

Key Risk

Break below $80 flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade — downside accelerates to $78 gap fill.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.