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TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.77EOD only

Max Pain

$85.00

Next expiry Jun 15, 2026

Expected Move

±$0.49

0.6% from close

Price Gap

-0.77

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

0.76

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

9.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 12, 2026 close

TLT AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

9.0

out of 10

9 not 10 because the pin is tight and any vol spike or rate surprise could break the pattern, but current alignment across GEX, flow, and vol is near-perfect.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas confirm bullish pinning to $86 with high conviction: positive GEX, heavy call flow, and low volatility support a drift toward $86.95, while defined-risk premium selling near support is attractive.

Where They Diverge

Flow's target of $82 slightly below directional's $86.95 pin, but not fundamentally conflicting; both agree on upside. Theta's invalidation at $84.5 is more sensitive than directional's $80, but consistent with downside risk.

Top Trade

via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $85.00/$84.00 put credit spread for $0.30 credit — defined risk, profits from pin and theta decay, aligns with all signals.

Key Risk

Break below $84.5 flips dealer gamma from positive to negative, accelerating selling to $82, invalidating both the pin and premium-selling thesis.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.