thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.72EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.58
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-0.72
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
35
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9 not 10 because low vol and macro event risk could dislodge the pin despite strong alignment; a break below $85 would invalidate the thesis.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas are bullish: dealer positive gamma, low vol, heavy call flow, and spot near max pain support a pin toward $87.28 with strong support at $85.

Where They Diverge

No significant conflicts; all perspectives reinforce a bullish/neutral stance with different trade structures.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $85/$84 put spread for credit – defined risk, profits from pin, aligns with theta and flow.

Key Risk

Break below $85 flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade – downside accelerates to $80 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.