thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.77EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.49
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.77
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for June 12, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 9 because the pin level conflict between $80 (flow) and $86 (directional) reduces confidence; if both aligned conviction would be 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish rangebound with dealer gamma pinning near $80-$86 supports defined-risk premium selling.

Where They Diverge

Directional targets $86 pin while flow data points to $80 accumulation zone — conflicting pin levels create uncertainty in exact magnet.

Top Trade
via theta

Iron Condor: Sell 2026-07-17 $83.00/$81.00 put wing and $87.00/$90.00 call wing

Key Risk

Break below $80 flips dealer gamma long and invalidates bullish pin, accelerating downside toward $75.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.