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TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.12EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.56
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-0.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
19
Low premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
9.0

out of 10

9 not 10 because the Jun12 expiry and low IV introduce pin-risk — a sharp move below $84 could quickly shift gamma, but current alignment is near-perfect.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three personas agree on a bullish pin near $85, supported by positive GEX and heavy institutional call flow, with low IV and short-gamma regime amplifying any breakout.

Where They Diverge

No material conflicts; directional and theta both see range-bound upside, while flow confirms aggressive accumulation, creating a cohesive thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-02 $83.50/$82.00 put spread for $0.25 credit — defined risk, profits from pin and theta decay, expires after near-term expiry risk.

Key Risk

Break below $83.75 flips dealer gamma short to long and invalidates pin — downside accelerates to $82 and then $80 gamma flip.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.