thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.06EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 8, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.46
0.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
0.75
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not lower because flow and max pain support upside, but negative gamma and low IV from theta prevent higher conviction; break below $80 would flip.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas see neutral-to-bullish bias with support near $80-$83 and resistance at $85-$87, reinforced by call flow and proximity to max pain.

Where They Diverge

Flow's bullish call accumulation contradicts theta's defensive stance (negative gamma amplifies moves, low IV limits premium). Directional's range-bound view moderates flow's conviction.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-06-26 $85.00/$87.00 call spread for expected debit of ~$0.50

Key Risk

Break below $80 invalidates bullish thesis across all personas: flow support lost, theta range violated, directional support fails, accelerating downside to $75.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.