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TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $85.50EOD only
Max Pain
$85.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
0.5% from close
Price Gap
+0.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
9
Low premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
TLT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because Flow's directional bias contradicts Theta's neutral pin, creating trade structure conflict; stronger agreement on pin but disagreement on outcome reduces conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on TLT pinning near $86 with positive GEX and low vol, supported by heavy call flow accumulation and max pain at $86.

Where They Diverge

Flow's bullish call accumulation directly challenges Theta's range-bound short strangle thesis; if calls drive spot above $86.50, Theta's trade loses, while Flow expects upside continuation.

Top Trade
via flow

Buy 2026-06-12 $86 call spread ($86/$87) for $0.30 debit – follows Flow's bullish accumulation while limiting risk, aligns with pin drift and low vol.

Key Risk

Break below $85.50 or above $86.50 invalidates the pin thesis; below $85.50 flips GEX short and accelerates selling, above $86.50 triggers gamma squeeze from accumulated calls.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.