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SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $16.47EOD only
Max Pain
$16.00
Next expiry Jul 31, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.43
2.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
5
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jul 30, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 30, 2026 close
SOFI Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 15, 2026. A newer theta report is available for June 26, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short put spreads targeting $15 support
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $15 gamma flip
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 14.2% from MP; +1 VIX 16

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV > 80% vs VIX 16; premium-rich
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-month ATM 57% but OTM skew extreme; back-month contango

📈GEX +$115.9M bullish dealer hedging
💰IV 5x VIX; rich premiums
🎯Max pain pin at $15 and $17

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+115.9M)

Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,792 (12.4% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI 77,792 at $15; call wall $18-$25

Verdict: Spot near $17? above $15 max pain; gamma flip at $15; pin risk moderate if spot drifts to $15

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $15.50/$14.50 put spread
Sell $15.50/$14.50 put spread to collect premium with support buffer.
Credit: $0.16-$0.19
Max loss: $0.81
BE: $15.31
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if spot breaks $15.50.
#2
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-10 $15.50 cash-secured put
Sell $15.50 put to collect premium and potentially acquire SOFI.
Credit: $0.30-$0.37
Max loss: $15.13
BE: $15.13
Mgmt: Roll down if spot falls to $15, else let expire.
#3
Put diagonal
Sell 2026-07-10 $15.50 put / buy 2026-08-21 $16.00 put
Sell front-month put, buy back-month put for calendar spread benefit.
Debit: $0.82-$1.00
Max loss: $1.00
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Monitor IV skew; adjust strikes to keep short put OTM.

Risk Alerts

!Spot 14% from max pain
!Front-month IV skew extreme
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.