base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Term structure: Front-week IV extreme (108%+), then dip to ~52% at 6DTE, gradual rise thereafter
Spot vs MP: At
GEX regime: Pinning ($+156.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,780 (9.5% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $10-$15, call wall $18-$22, gamma flip $15
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $16.00/$15.00 put spread
Sell $16/$15 put spread to capture elevated IV and theta decay.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or if SOFI breaches $16.50.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $16.00/$15.00 put wing and $20.00/$21.00 call wing
Sell $16/$15 put and $20/$21 call wings for premium.
Mgmt: Monitor gamma risk; exit if volatility spikes or spot nears $16.
#3Call calendar
Sell 2026-07-10 $20.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $20.00 call
Sell Jul10 $20 call, buy Aug21 $20 call to exploit IV term structure.
Mgmt: Close near front expiration; adjust if earnings cause IV change.
!Gamma flip at $15 (approx put OI 77.8k, 9.5% below spot)
!High GEX can amplify intraday moves
!Front-week IV spike may collapse post-expiration