base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Front-end elevated (58%+), dip to 55.8% at 18d, then rise to 67%+ by Dec
Spot vs MP: At
GEX regime: Pinning ($+75.0M)
Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,759 (9.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI at $15 (gamma flip) and $10-$15 floor; call wall $20-$22. Max pain $16, $15, $17
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $16.00/$15.00 put spread
Sell $16 put, buy $15 put. Collects premium with defined risk.
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or adjust if spot nears $16.50.
#2Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-10 $15.00 cash-secured put
Sell $15 put. Earns premium on downside support.
Mgmt: Close at 50% or roll if spot drops below $15.50.
#3Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $16.00/$15.00 put wing and $17.00/$20.00 call wing
Sell $16/$15 puts and $17/$20 calls. Captures pin zone.
Mgmt: Close at 50% of max profit or adjust wings.
!Spot at $15.95 near max pain $16; watch gamma flip at $15
!IV term structure dip at 18d may slow decay