thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $214.75EOD only
Max Pain
$215.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.59
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+0.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 3, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 3, 2026 close
NVDA Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish NVDA: GEX+$820M pins $215, flow bullish, spot>MP. VIX15 supports $220. High conf.

Confidence:
9 / 10
Base5+2GEX/flow+1pinning+0.5spot+1VIX=9
Supports: GEX+$820M, bullish flow, spot>$215MP, VIX15
Conflicts: QQQ-0.48%, res$220/$225, flip$200
📌GEX pins $215
💰Flow positive
📈Spot>MP

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
IV normal, VIX15
Gamma Regime
Pinning
GEX+$820M positive, flip $200
Flow Regime
Bullish
Net bullish
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot+1.7% above $215MP
Thesis duration: Event-specific — MP$215 Jun5/8/10, flip$200

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$215.11$222.22
Sup$215.11, res$222.22
Next 1 week
$210.99$226.34
Sup$210.99, res$226.34
Next 2 weeks
$205.71$231.61
Sup$205.71, res$231.61; flip$200

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $215 (2026-06-05); $215 (2026-06-08); $215 (2026-06-10)
EM guardrails: 2d $215.11/$222.22; 1w $210.99/$226.34
Support: $215.00 · $205.71 · $200.00
Resistance: $220.00 · $225.00 · $230.00
Gamma flip: ~$200.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 98,348 (8.5% below spot)
Structural: MP$215; EM 2d$215.11/222.22, 1w$210.99/226.34; sup$215/205.71/200; res$220/225/230; flip$200

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+820.4M

DEX: +416.4M shares

Gamma flip: ~$200 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 98,348 (8.5% below spot))

NTM gamma: Long gamma+$820M, delta+416M; flip~$200

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX15 for weeklies

Term structure: Near-dated elevated, flat further

Skew: Put skew at $200; sell put spreads

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium $1.26B call-heavy (P/C vol 0.47) reflects strong bullish directional flow.

Directional prints: 27.8 call 220 OTM 2026-06-05 — Vol/OI 7.0; massive volume likely opening bullish bets; bought, supports upside. 29.1 put 212.5 OTM 2026-06-05 — Vol/OI 9.6; large put volume may be hedging or bearish; possible sold against stock. 26.9 call 220 OTM 2026-06-08 — Vol/OI 5.8; continued call activity; likely bought, reinforces bullish view.

Unusual: 61.5 put 185 OTM 2026-06-08 — Vol/OI 10.9; deep OTM put with high IV; likely speculative, bought as lottery hedge. 38 call 232.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 10.4; large OTM call volume; likely bought for upside leverage.

Risks & Catalysts

!Below$200 flips gamma
!QQQ drag
!Res$220/$225
!Macro shock

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadStrong
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00/$222.50 call spread
Why now: Heavy call flow, GEX pin at $215, VIX low, high confidence for drift
Time decay if flat; resistance at $220/$225
Long callStrong
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call
Why now: High call volume, OI surge at 220C, bullish flow
Fully exposed to downside; IV crush after earnings
Bullish risk reversalStrong
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call / sell 2026-06-12 $215.00 put
Why now: Low put volatility; GEX support at $210, upside call flow strong
If NVDA drops below $210, put assignment risk; upside cap undefined

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00/$222.50 call spread
Buy $220/$222.5 call spread to capture drift.
Why this play: Heavy call flow and GEX pin support, defined risk.
Debit: $0.88-$1.07
Max loss: $1.07
BE: $221.07
Mgmt: Exit near max gain or at invalidation below $215.
Conservative bullish with limited risk.
#2
Long Call
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call
Buy 220 call for leveraged bullish exposure.
Why this play: Strong OI surge at 220C, unlimited upside potential.
Debit: $3.83-$4.68
Max loss: $4.68
BE: $224.68
Mgmt: Set stop at $215; trail profits.
Aggressive traders seeking high convexity.
#3
Bullish Risk Reversal
Buy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call / sell 2026-06-12 $215.00 put
Buy 220 call, sell 215 put for net premium.
Why this play: Low put vol, call flow strong, credit received.
Debit: $1.10-$1.35
Max loss: $215.00
BE: $215.00
Mgmt: Close if put delta increases; monitor gamma.
Experienced traders comfortable with put obligation.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFNVDA spot holds above $215 and VIX below 15 with positive call flowBuy 2026-06-12 $220.00/$222.50 call spread
IFNVDA spot breaks above $220 with strong volume and OI surgeBuy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call
IFNVDA spot near $215 and put volatility lowBuy 2026-06-12 $220.00 call / Sell 2026-06-12 $215.00 put
Exit Triggers
EXITNVDA spot closes below $215Exit all bullish positions
EXITNVDA spot breaks below $200 gamma flipExit all positions and consider bearish reversal

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias with strong GEX support at $215. Entry on sustained price above $215 with call flow. Risk: stop below $215; gamma flip at $200 invalidates bullish view. Monitor VIX and QQQ for confirmation.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.