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MSTR

Strategy IncClose $94.13EOD only
Max Pain
$115.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.43
6.8% from close
Price Gap
+20.87
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
15
Low premium
P/C OI
0.96
Balanced positioning
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
MSTR AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because 35-day earnings event introduces binary risk, but current flow and positioning heavily favor downside despite high IV.

Where Perspectives Agree

Strong bearish consensus across all personas — heavy put flow, negative GEX, elevated IV, and spot below max pain all point to downside toward $70-$75 support.

Where They Diverge

No material conflicts; all perspectives reinforce bearish thesis with consistent signals.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-31 $75/$70 bear put spread for $2.50 debit — captures downside with defined risk.

Key Risk

Break below $75 triggers dealer gamma flip from negative to positive, removing hedging support — downside accelerates to $70.86 and possibly $65.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.